![[Download] Jim Brown - MT4 High Probability Forex Trading Method - Cent Course](https://external-preview.redd.it/wfgnn8BPX2S3kxM33A_xZ6Vc1QJByxkDA0BUFlALMMo.jpg?width=320&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=ba70a1346f2ea941f2b222a00c55424324d2f5c1 "[Download] Jim Brown - MT4 High Probability Forex Trading Method - Cent Course")
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 | My favorites to play are double bottoms, double tops, inverted head and shoulders, head an shoulders, if I try to chase after a trade I usually get burned. What has worked out for you guys recently? submitted by Advent127 to Daytrading [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/21e8g4vy9fi81.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=45181ec10034e517508f290b466655485dcb6629 |
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 | Hey guys, I recently saw a gap play on here so I though I could share my opening gap setup (as it is the setup with the highest probability). Also, I wanted to share some thoughts on what is a good gap to trade and what gaps to stay away from. submitted by BullishSwinger to swingtrading [link] [comments] This setup was not developed by me. I first read about it in a book from John F. Carter and it has been really good to me, so I wanted to share and add some of my thoughts to it. Visuals and short introduction As you guys should know on the market open there is usually a gap between the closing price of the last day and the open price. And one thing to know is that the market does not like gaps! So it happens quite often (80% of the time) that this gap is closed within the same day (if this does not happen I would close the trade at the end of the day) - it's like magic. This setup does usually only work (in my experience) on heavily traded stocks, for example the S&P 500 and for some reason it has a higher probability on NYSE traded stocks. On the Chart below I marked the relevant areas where this happened. As you can see the openings that were created between the 9th & 10th [1], 11th & 12th [2], 13th & 16th [3] and the 16th and 17th [4] were all closed within the same day (I will get into which gaps to play and which not to play later on). Another interesting factor is that a gap that has not been closed will, with a high probability be closed within the next week (for example the gap [5] between the 17th and 18th was closed on the 19th). Gap play examples When should you play the gaps? As I mentioned this play does have a high probability but does not always hit. First of all I would not trade any gaps that were created through any news or are happening on highly volatile stocks (like $GME as an extreme example), I always play this setup on charts that are moving sideways and not trending right now. Further John. F. Carter (in his book "Mastering the Trade") actually identified the probability of this setup to hit based on days:
Which gaps to play? As I already mentioned this only works on heavily traded stocks and for some reason has a higher probability on the NYSE to happen. Furthermore, I always look at the mood of the market in the morning using Internals such as $TICK, $ADD, $VIX, $PCVA or the $TRIN and other internals of your choice (this is a totally different topic though I can touch on if you guys want). Here is a short article on internals (I didn't read this, only the first article I found). If something seems off I am not going to take any opening gaps. Then, as already mentioned I would always have a look at the news surrounding the stocky you are trading. If there are no news - great. If something big happened: Don't take the setup. You should also factor in the pre-market volume here to see if something big happened or if this is just a regularity. Further, I would only play gaps that are bigger (I am not giving any numbers here on purpose as this is heavily dependent on the stock you are trading). You need to get a read on the chart you want to set this up and what gaps are big enough to take a profit from. And lastly I would not take the recommended 3:1 stop/loss ratio on this as you are usually getting thrown out by the noise of the market. Not giving any recommendations here aswell, as this differs depending on what you are trading. What kind of gaps are there? I really like the differentiation J. F. Carter makes on the two types you usually see: A "Bahamas Gap" and a "Somalia Gap". I mainly take this in because I found them really funny. A "Bahamas Gap" is one that does not stress you, its relaxing and closes the gap really smoothly, e. g. Box nb. 1. A "Somalia Gap" is one that is connected to a lot of stress as it moves up&down quite a bit until it closes, e.g. box nb. 2 or 4. There is also something called a "professional gap" this is actually a gap designed to keep retail investors out of the market. This would be for example a gap up in the DOW of about 100 points and when it afterwards trades in a high range. Professionals who were positioned for this will make a lot of money and retailers have no opportunity to participate. You should keep an eye out for that. Usually the stock trades in a tight range for the rest of the day after that. Using the open Gaps as information Not all Gaps are gonna close within the same day, they just have a high chance to do so. However, gaps that are not filled have a history of being filled within the next few days. You can use this knowledge if you are setting up a trade and looking for a good exit strategy or a potential entry point. Finale Words Good job for making it until here, I hope I could give you a little insight on gap plays and how to utilize them. If you (like me) are not a full time trader this can actually be a very nice setup to use as you can easily set it up in the morning with your limits and then go to work or do something else and let it just trade. If you then come back to your charts in the evening you will have a 75% probability of having a bigger bank or just having lost a bit of money. If the trade still exists in the evening I recommend closing it. I hope you enjoyed and would be grateful for any input from your guys side! Do you have any ideas on how to improve this setup or just thoughts on it? (I am not a financial advisor, please do think for yourself before opening a trade. Every setup has a chance of failure. That is just the nature of the game. As I am not a native English speaker I hope that my wording is still correct, if something is unclear feel free to hit me up.) |
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