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2020 on Forex: the new forecasts
The coronavirus has changed everything. When analysts gave forecasts for 2020 at the end of last year, no one could foresee that the whole world would be seized by the pandemic. Call it a “black swan” or not, it’s necessary to re-evaluate the situation and adjust the medium- and the long-term outlook. Below you will find the analysis of the main Forex drivers and the overview of the prospects for the key commodities.
US recession
In 2019, economists had some fears of a potential US recession. Well, they were right not only about the USA, but also about the whole world as lockdowns pushed every country to the deep downturn. Now it’s clear that earlier the view was naturally more optimistic. How encouraging the US unemployment rate and NFP were at the end of 2019! We couldn’t imagine at that time that more than 33 million Americans would lose jobs and economic activity would fall to unprecedented lows. The Fed made a dire scenario for the prolonged US recession. All the needed measures have been taken, almost 3 trillion dollars were provided to support the market and additional aids are expected. Anyway, the US dollar gains as a safe-haven currency. The collapse of USD this year remains highly unlikely.
Central banks’ monetary policy
In December, we expected the Federal Reserve to be patient in its monetary policy decisions. At the same time, we didn’t underestimate the power of rate cuts due to recession fears. Coronavirus outbreak flipped the script with the Federal Reserve unveiling outstanding measures to support the suffering economy. The first rate cut from 1.5-1.75% to 1-1.25% happened at the beginning of March and was followed by an even bigger rate cut to the range of 0-0.25% just after a week. At the same time, the regulator announced an unlimited buying of mortgage-backed securities and plans to buy corporate bonds and bonds backed by consumer debt. Moreover, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell didn’t exclude the possibility of negative interest rates. Even though our forecasts were not 100% accurate, the upside for the USD has been indeed limited. As for the stock market, after a shock wave caused by Covid-19, the ultra-loose monetary policy pushed the indices up. Other major central banks also joined the easing game. The Reserve banks of Australia and New Zealand cut their interest rate to unprecedented lows of 0.25%. The Bank of England and the Bank of Canada lowered their interest rate as well to 0.1% and 0.25% respectively. As for the European Central bank, it keeps the zero interest rate on hold. The supportive tool the ECB presented is the 750 billion euro Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) aimed to counter the serious risks to the outlook of the Eurozone.
As all major central banks conduct almost similar easing policy, the Forex pairs can fluctuate within certain levels for a long period. That is actually a good news for range-bound traders, as channels are expected to remain quite strong.
ECB The European Central Bank let the market know that it was aiming to do whatever it takes to save the euro area from the coronavirus damage. However, trouble always brings his brother: Germany was so tired to be the sponsor of the unlimited bond-purchasing ECB program that the German court claimed that it actually violated constitution. Now, the ECB has three months to explain that purchases were "proportionate". The ECB credibility is under threat as Germany may pull out of the next ECB's bond purchases. This situation has made euro quite volatile.
Brexit
Boris Johnson hasn’t kept his promise “to get Brexit done” yet. However, we can forgive him for that as this year brings much worse problems to deal with. Now, when countries are getting over the coronavirus shock, the UK and EU should hold the last round of trade talks and finalize an agreement by the end of December. Some analysts are skeptical about that. They think the deadline could be extended beyond the end of December, leaving the UK subject to tariffs on most goods. This would be devastating for the British pound. The sooner the UK and EU make a deal, the better for GBP.
Oil
Oil prices spent last year between $50 and $70. December was positive with the US and China ceasing fire in the trade war and OPEC extending production cuts. Possibility of a scenario where prices drop to 0 and below was absolutely inconceivable even for the most pessimistic observers, and yet it came true. It marked the beginning of 2020 with historically unseen turbulence, even apart from the coronavirus hit. In the long term, however, there are all fundamentals for oil prices to get back to where they were. However, that may not happen this year. Observers predict that oil prices will recover to the levels of $55-60 if there is nothing in the way during the year. Otherwise, $30 is seen as the safest baseline level for the commodity during 2020.
Stocks
Just like in 2019, the stock market had a nightmarish beginning of 2020. S&P lost 35%, with some stocks losing more than 50% of value. As the summer season is coming, the market sees 50% of the losses recovered in most sectors. While the shape of recovery is being discussed, most analysts agree that after the worst-performing Q2, the S&P will continue restoring its value. Notice that the situation is different for different stocks. Locked by the anti-virus restrictions, most of the world population was forced to spend weeks and months at home facing their TVs, laptops, and desktops. That made strong Internet-related companies blossom, so we saw Amazon and Netflix rise to even higher value than before the virus. On the contrary, the healthcare sector struggling to invent the vaccine saw Moderna, BionTech, Inovio, and other new and old pharma companies surge to unexpected heights.
IT and Internet communications companies will likely gain much more attention during the year.
Google, Nvidia, Disney, Apple, and many more around the IT and Internet sectors have the full potential to spearhead the S&P in 2020 and further on.
There are many popular currency pairs and there is a difference in outlook in all the major currency pairs and the list is always not definite. The list of 6 major currency pairs which will be presented is not best to worst but randomly selecting 6 major currency pairs
1) EUUSD:
Our first pick is EUUSD as it is one of the highest traded forex pairs around the globe. The euro, in this case, is base currency while the us dollar is the quote currency meaning that how many dollars you will need in order to purchase one euro. This currency pair is less volatile than other pairs as both of these currencies are backed by world’s two greatest economies.
2) GBP/USD:
In this currency pair, the GBP is used as base currency and USD as a quote currency showing how many US dollars you will be needing to purchase one pound. This currency pair is also known as ‘cable’ as they used deep-sea cables in order to transfer price info between New York and London.
3) USD/JPY:
In this case, the difference between the two currencies is very large but still this is a very major currency pair because of the low-interest rate policies of the bank of japan. In this currency pair the USD is used as base currency and JPY as a quote currency showing how many Japanese Yen you will be needing to purchase one US Dollar.
4) USD/CHF:
Just like yen, the Swiss franc is popular for its safe-haven investment that’s is why the Swiss Franc currency is popular among traders as it has lower amount of risk. In this currency pair the USD is used as base currency and CHF as a quote currency showing how many Swiss franc currency you will be needing to purchase one US Dollar.
5) AUD/USD:
In this currency pair, the USD is used as base currency and AUD as a quote currency showing how many Australian Dollars you will be needing to purchase one US Dollar. If you want to start trading between this pair you have to keep updated on the commodities as it tends to affect the overall currency fluctuation in Australian dollars.
6) USD/CAD:
In this currency pair, the USD is used as base currency and CAD as a quote currency showing how many Canadian Dollars you will be needing to purchase one US Dollar. The value of Canadian dollars depends on the price of oil as Canada’s main export is Oil. So when trading keeping price of oil in mind can drastically change the overall result. Want know more please visit our Website : Signal Skyline
Your AM Global Stocks Preview and a whole lot more news that you need to read: Global stocks are dropping following economic contraction in two of the world’s largest economies
US Stocks
Global stocks are mixed this morning with European stocks dropping on weak German GDP and US stocks little changed
US stocks index futures are little changed this morning, pointing to a flat open in NY with Dow Jones minis +0.02%, S&P500 minis +0.02%, and Nasdaq 100 minis –0.16%
Bloomberg reports that the US will hold off from imposing new tariffs on auto imports, putting a bid into international auto stocks today
Larry Kudlow, the Director of the US National Economic Council for US President Trump, confirms that the US and China have restarted their discussion on trade at “all levels”
US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is set to give a speech today at the Dallas Federal Reserve – traders are expecting Fed Chair Powell to give some clarity into the trajectory of interest rate increases going forward
The VIX is little changed this morning and is currently at 20.59 after closing at 20.02 yesterday
General Electric (GE) December 21 OTM Calls, USO December 21 & January 2019 OTM Puts, EWZ November 16 OTM Puts and EEM November 16 OTM Calls are the most actively traded options contracts in the US pre-market
US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -0.37 basis points to 3.136%
The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 0.37 basis points to 0.24%
WTI Crude is currently down -7.07% to USD$55.69/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread up USD$7.86 to USD$9/bbl
Gold is currently little changed -0.18% to USD$1200.06/oz
Global oil prices appear to be dismissing US President Trump’s pushback against Saudi Arabia’s suggestion to cut production by 1 million barrels a day as Reuters reports that OPEC is now considering a cut of 1.4 million barrels
Stocks Trending in the News
Click name for Q-Factor breakdown, latest price details, more financial info and sentiment data.
Amazon (AMZN) will see the first protest in New York City today over its new campus planned for Long Island City in Queens. Some local politicians want guarantees from Amazon that it will do all it can to benefit the citizens of Queens and plan to demand that today. They complain that the area cannot handle 25,000 new people, especially given the state of the subways, saying Amazon is building a helipad while residents are stuck with overcrowded trains. Amazon is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Top Buy” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
Apple (AAPL) was downgraded at Guggenheim today to neutral from buy. The note cites supply chain cuts and the lower deliveries of phones it implies. Apple was also had its price target lowered at UBS to USD$225, also citing supply chain concerns. Apple is rated “Attractive” in both our US Large-Cap and US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
Caterpillar (CAT) was maintained as a buy at Credit Suisse in a note to clients. Caterpillar’s price target was updated to USD$183 as well. Caterpillar saw October machines sales rise 18%, this follows a 21% rise in September. Caterpillar is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.
Bloomindale's, a unit of Macy's (M), is adding high end appliances to its store in New York City. Bloomingdale's is following other retailers in adding appliances to its offerings. The Macy's unit will offer USD$7,000 refrigerators from LG and washing machines that automatically figure out how much soap is needed. Bloomindale's hopes to spark sales by adding the new products. Macy's is rated "Neutral" in both our US Large-Cap and US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
Merck (MRK GR) cut its full year adjusted ebitda forecast while raising its net sales guidance. Merck expects full year adjusted ebitda 3.7-3.9 billion euros, down from 3.75-4 billion euros. Merck now expects organic net sales to grow 4-6%, up from 3-5%. Merck said adverse forex effects will lower adjusted ebitda by 8-10%. Merck is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Tata Motors (TTMT IN) had its outlook cut to negative from stable at Moody’s Investors Service. Tata Motors saw the cut due to weakness expected at its Jaguar Land Rover Automotive Plc over the next 12-18 months. Tata Motors had its rating reaffirmed at Baa2. Tata Motors is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
Tencent (700 HK, TCEHY) reported 3Q net income that beat the highest estimates. Tencent reported net income of 23.33 billion yuan while 18.39 billion as consensus. Tencent 3Q revenue of 8.6 billion yuan was in line with 80.41 billion yuan expected. Tencent saw 3Q online gaming revenue of 25.8 billion yuan, online advertising revenue of 16.2 billion and smart phone gaming revenue of 19.5 billion yuan. Tencent is rated “Attractive” in our China All-Cap Global Top Picks.
Wirecard (WDI GR) shares are sliding despite raising guidance. Wirecard raised its operating profit forecast and investors have not been impressed. Morgan Stanley noted the increased guidance “a minor positive” given that most estimates were already above that. Wirecard entered the DAX in September. Wirecard is rated “Attractive” in our European Large-Cap Global top Stock Idea.
European Stocks
European stocks are declining to start the morning, though they are bouncing off their early AM lows
The Euro Stoxx 600 is currently down -0.53%, the FTSE 100 is higher by +0.04%, the DAX has fallen -0.46%, and the CAC 40 is lower by -0.52%
GDP for Germany contracted 0.2% Q/Q in 3Q, the first contraction since early CY2015 as the impact of new emissions tests disrupted auto production
UK Prime Minister Theresa May is struggling to convince members of the UK Parliament to support her BREXIT deal
GDP for the Eurozone grew +0.2% Q/Q in 3Q, in-line with market forecasts and at the same pace as 2Q
Italian stocks (and bonds!) are dropping this morning following news that the “populist” Italian government is refusing to budge on their CY2019 budget amidst rising pressure from EU officials
Investor sentiment for European stocks is negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Euro Stoxx 600 currently at 0.71x
Oil & Gas (-1.31%), Telecommunications (+0.37%), and Basic Resources (-2.45%) stocks are the top performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
Automobiles & Parts (+1.14%), Food & Beverage (-0.24%), and Utilities (+0.7%) stocks are the worst performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
56 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are at 4-week highs while 53 stocks are at 4-week lows
16 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are overbought while 27 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
VSTOXX, the European stocks equivalent of the VIX, is little changed this morning and is currently at 17.81 after closing at 17.03 yesterday
EUR€ is currently down -0.186% against the USD$ to 1.1269
GBP£ is currently down -0.408% against the USD$ to 1.2924
CHF is currently down -0.282% against the USD$ to 0.9902
German 10-Year Bunds are higher with yields down -1.8 basis points to 0.391%
UK 10-Year GILTs are higher with yields down -4.6 basis points to 1.475%
Asian Stocks
Asia stocks traded in a tight range, closing in the red as investors awaited Tencent (SEHK:700, ADR: TCEHY) earnings after the market close in Hong Kong
The Nikkei 225 finished up +0.16%, the Hang Seng ended down -0.54%, the Hang Seng China Enterprise declined -0.7%, and the CSI 300 was -1%
Japanese GDP contracted 1.2% in 3Q, worse than the 1% contraction expected by market forecasters as the impact of the September earthquake in Hokkaido was a drag on productivity this quarter – GDP is expected to rebound in 4Q
Volume in Hong Kong was weaker than normal with total turnover little more than 40% below the rolling 20-day average for volume traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange
China retail sales grew +8.6% in October 2018, a deceleration from the +9.2% pace in September 2018 and below market expectations for +9.2%
Investor sentiment for Japanese stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Nikkei 225 closing at 1.59x
4 stocks in the Nikkei 225 hit 4-week highs while 35 stocks reached 4-week lows
3 stocks in the Nikkei 225 closed overbought while 13 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
Investor sentiment for Hong Kong stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Hang Seng closing at 0.72x
2 stocks in the Hang Seng hit 4-week highs while 4 stocks reached 4-week lows
0 stocks in the Hang Seng closed overbought while 1 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
Japan 2-Year Government Bonds are higher with yields down -0.1 basis points to -0.139%
Japan 10-Year Government Bonds are higher with yields down -0.3 basis points to 0.111%
JGBs 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 0.2 basis points to 0.25%
JPY¥ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 113.9
Your PM US Stocks and a whole lot more news that you need to read: US stocks close lower, pare earlier losses on Brexit progress
US Markets End of Day Snapshot
US stocks close lower, paring earlier losses as news of progress on Brexit helped markets late day
Oil closed higher for the first time in 13 sessions, WTI broke its longest losing streak ever
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak tonight at an event being hosted by the Dallas Fed discussing national and global economic issues
The S&P 500 finished down 0.76%, Nasdaq Composite is down 0.9%, and Russell 2000 is down 0.81%
The S&P500 closed lower for the fifth straight day and is at its lowest level in 2 weeks
Telecom (+0.46%), Real Estate (+0.04%), and Energy (-0.11%) stocks were the top performers in the S&P 500 today
Utilities (-1.13%), Tech (-1.29%), and Financials (-1.38%) stocks were the worst performers in the S&P 500 today
Investor sentiment for US stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the S&P 500 closing at 0.5x
44 stocks in the S&P 500 hit 4-week highs while 28 stocks reached 4-week lows
14 stocks in the S&P 500 closed overbought while 24 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
49 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite hit 4-week highs while 202 stocks reached 4-week lows
124 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite closed overbought while 339 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
The VIX closed down -20.02 points today to 0 after closing at 20.02 yesterday
Stocks Trending in the News
Click name for Q-Factor rating and financials data.
Adyen (AYDNA DC) shares are falling today after notable index compiler MSCI refrained from adding Adyen to its MSCI Europe Index benchmark. According to an analyst from Bryan Garnier, who maintains a ‘Sell’ recommendation for Adyen with a price target of 490 euros, some investors were surprised by the news. Adyen is rated “Unattractive” in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Amazon (AMZN) will see the first protest in New York City today over its new campus planned for Long Island City in Queens. Some local politicians want guarantees from Amazon that it will do all it can to benefit the citizens of Queens and plan to demand that today. They complain that the area cannot handle 25,000 new people, especially given the state of the subways, saying Amazon is building a helipad while residents are stuck with overcrowded trains. Amazon is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Top Buy” in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
Apple (AAPL) was downgraded at Guggenheim today to neutral from buy. The note cites supply chain cuts and the lower deliveries of phones it implies. Apple was also had its price target lowered at UBS to USD$225, also citing supply chain concerns. Apple is rated “Attractive” in both our US Large-Cap and US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
AT&T (T) reiterated guidance for 2018 today. AT&T expects full year EPS in the range of USD$3.50. AT&T expects full year revenue of USD$21 billion range. AT&T said the first full quarter with WarnerMedia integrated saw it accretive to earnings by USD$0.05 and AT&T reiterated its expectation of USD$2.5 billion in run-rate synergies by 2021. AT&T is rated “Attractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Canada Goose (TSX: GOOS) shares are soaring after the winter clothing manufacturer reported earnings that topped analysts’ estimates for the seventh straight quarter. Canada Goose generated FY2Q2018 adjusted EPS of CAD$0.46/share while analysts’ consensus called for CAD$0.26/share. Canada Goose’s profitability also surpassed analyst expectations, reporting FY2Q2018 gross margin of 55.8% while analysts expected 52.8%. Canada Goose is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
Caterpillar (CAT) was maintained as a buy at Credit Suisse in a note to clients. Caterpillar’s price target was updated to USD$183 as well. Caterpillar saw October machines sales rise 18%, this follows a 21% rise in September. Caterpillar is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.
Facebook’s (FB) turbulent year is bleeding into employee morale with several key measures of internal sentiment taking a turn for the worse this year. Amid a falling stock price, troubled leadership, and harsh media coverage, only about 50% of Facebook’s 23,000 employees said they were optimistic about Facebook’s future, down from 82% the year before. Meanwhile, 53% of employees believe that Facebook is making the world better, down from 72% in 2017. Facebook is rated “Neutral” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and “Attractive” in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
Iliad SA (ENXTPA: ILD) shares are trading higher following FY3Q2018 financials that contained shreds of optimism after the company’s stock has lost half of its value so far in 2018. Specifically, investors were pleased to see strong performance in the company’s Italian unit. Raymond James analyst Stephane Beyazian, who maintains a ‘Strong Buy’ recommendation for Iliad, wrote in a note that FY3Q2018 contained the first signs of recovery for Iliad. Raymond James is rated “Unattractive’ in our European SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Bloomindale's, a unit of Macy's (M), is adding high end appliances to its store in New York City. Bloomingdale's is following other retailers in adding appliances to its offerings. The Macy's unit will offer USD$7,000 refrigerators from LG and washing machines that automatically figure out how much soap is needed. Bloomindale's hopes to spark sales by adding the new products. Macy's is rated "Neutral" in both our US Large-Cap and US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
L Brands’ (LB) Victoria’s Secret lost its head of lingerie, according to a report in Bloomberg today. Jan Singer ran the lingerie division at Victoria’s Secret, a unit with USD$4 billion is annual sales. Victoria’s Secret has been criticized for not adapting to shifting tastes in lingerie. L Brands had no comment on the matter, Ms. Singer has been with the company for 2 years. L Brands is rated “Unattractive” in both our US Large-Cap and US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
Merck (MRK GR) cut its full year adjusted ebitda forecast while raising its net sales guidance. Merck expects full year adjusted ebitda 3.7-3.9 billion euros, down from 3.75-4 billion euros. Merck now expects organic net sales to grow 4-6%, up from 3-5%. Merck said adverse forex effects will lower adjusted ebitda by 8-10%. Merck is rated “Unattractive” in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Mediaset (BIT: MS) shares are trading higher after reported FY3Q2018 financials the pleased investors. Mediaset reported an EBIT loss of 9.1mm euros in FY3Q2018, an improvement from their 42.2mm euros EBIT loss a year prior. Mediaset’s failure to retain football broadcasting rights, however, caused advertising revenues in October fell 1% y/y. Mediaset is rated “Neutral” in our European SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
PG&E Corporation (PGC) shares are spiraling downward, falling over 25%, as investors are fearing the possibility that the company’s equipment started the wildfire(s) raging through California. PG&E also announced that it has exhausted all of its revolving credit lines, speaking further to the company’s financial stress. “The risk of bankruptcy is very real for these guys,” says Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Jaimin Patel. PG&E is rated “Attractive’ in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
Snap (SNAP) shares fell amid confirmation from the company that the Department of Justice and Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating its IPO. Both are looking into allegation that Snap misled investors leading up to its IPO. Snap said it believes this relates to disclosures it made in relation to competition from Instagram, now part of Facebook (FB). Reports are that Snap was not clear about how much Instagram was hurting its business. Snap is rated “Unattractive” in both our US Large-Cap and US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
Superior Industries (SUP) was upgraded today to buy from neutral at Buckingham. Superior Industries’ price target was lowered to USD$12 from USD$19, however. Superior Industries’ high leverage ratio was cited as a concern by Buckingham, which also said 3Q results were right in line and that recent weakness in the stock “was overdone”. Superior Industries is rated “Top Buy” in both our US SMID-Cap and US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
Tata Motors (TTMT IN) had its outlook cut to negative from stable at Moody’s Investors Service. Tata Motors saw the cut due to weakness expected at its Jaguar Land Rover Automotive Plc over the next 12-18 months. Tata Motors had its rating reaffirmed at Baa2. Tata Motors is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
Tencent (700 HK, TCEHY) reported 3Q net income that beat the highest estimates. Tencent reported net income of 23.33 billion yuan while 18.39 billion as consensus. Tencent 3Q revenue of 8.6 billion yuan was in line with 80.41 billion yuan expected. Tencent saw 3Q online gaming revenue of 25.8 billion yuan, online advertising revenue of 16.2 billion and smart phone gaming revenue of 19.5 billion yuan. Tencent is rated “Attractive” in our China All-Cap Global Top Picks.
Wirecard (WDI GR) shares are sliding despite raising guidance. Wirecard raised its operating profit forecast and investors have not been impressed. Morgan Stanley noted the increased guidance “a minor positive” given that most estimates were already above that. Wirecard entered the DAX in September. Wirecard is rated “Attractive” in our European Large-Cap Global top Stock Idea.
US Treasuries
US 2-Year Treasury Notes are higher with yields down -2.48 basis points to 2.86%
US 5-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -2.73 basis points to 2.95%
US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -1.47 basis points to 3.12%
The US Treasury 2s-5s Spread has narrowed 0.25 basis points to 0.09%
The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has widened 1.01 basis points to 0.26%
US Treasury 5s-10s Spread has widened 1.26 basis points to 0.17%
Currencies
EUR€ is up 0.213% against the USD$ in after hours to 1.1314
GBP£ is little changed 0.139% against the USD$ in after hours to 1.2995
CHF is little changed 0.131% against the USD$ in after hours to 0.9943
JPY¥ is down 0.193% against the USD$ in after hours to 113.59
Commodities
WTI Crude is up 1.01% to USD$56.25/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread little changed USD$0.11 to USD$8.65/bbl
USD/CAD price action plummeted to fresh yearly lows this morning as the Canadian Dollar surges with crude oil in response to encouraging coronavirus vaccine headlines. Analysts at Goldman Sachs maintain their Brent price-forecast for the year-end while projecting a constructive outlook for the next year, in their latest client note. Key quotes “Oil inventories ... By Noah Browning. LONDON (Reuters) - Renewed lockdown measures in Europe aimed at containing a rise in COVID-19 cases appear set to push the outlook for global oil demand toward the downside, an ... During Friday's early Asian trading session, the [[WTI]] crude oil prices snapped its three-day bullish run-up. They came under some selling pressure around below 41.00 level after the EIA's downbeat inventory numbers, which showed a sharp build-up in U.S. crude oil stocks. Apart from this, the new explosion of coronavirus cases in the United States keeps threatening the outlook for oil, which ... Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1713; (P) 1.1792; (R1) 1.1853; More….. EUR/USD breached 1.1737 support briefly but quickly recovered. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 1 ... The bearish demand outlook and rising supply from Libya may mean OPEC+ could roll over the existing cuts into next year, OPEC+ sources said on Thursday. There is an OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Nov. 30 to Dec. 1 to set policy. Oil slides on COVID-19 resurgence, strong dollar, Reuters, Oct 16 Oil outlook weakens. A deteriorating outlook for crude demand is preventing oil prices from following the post-election stock market rally. The demand outlook might take a big hit if health ...
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