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Case study: In the 1980s, Japan's economy was booming. It's the #2 economy behind the United States as its exporting a lot of Toyota, Fujitsu, Panasonic, name it. From Y240 in 1985, it appreciated so much that by 1995 it hit Y80. At its peak, it temporarily made Japan's economy nearly the same size of the US but it hurt export growth and the industrial base so much that Japan never really recovered their number two spot ceding it to China (it now grapples with deflation throughout much of the 2000s).I moved from PHP to USD/EUGBP, what do I need to know?
Case Study #2: Ironically, China learned from this and intentionally made the Yuan undervalued versus the USD throughout most of its economic growth cycle. It does this by buying US currency and treasury notes in the market and this is also why they have massive foreign reserves.
The cheap Yuan gives China an unfair advantage in the export market and couple this with their manufacturing base means the rise of China to be the number-two economy through "Made in China"
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 | This time I bring you more English, less jargon, more fun and higher prices. submitted by Scryer_of_knowledge to southafrica [link] [comments] Introduction More English According to the Oxford dictionary Inflation in economics is defined as "a general increase in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money" Inflation is when your money gets you less stuff, making the money you have less valuable. "When I was a young man we could get a packet of chips, a cooldrink and a toffie for less than ten cents!" - Uncle du Prys Nowadays, you can impress anyone by owning a 2 litre bottle of cooking oil. Inflation is one of the simplest economic indicators with arguably the most impactful, powerful effect on our daily lives. Less Jargon Every country in the modern, global economy has various ways of getting goods and services (stuff). It can import stuff, make stuff, steal stuff, hoard stuff, war for stuff, beg for stuff or lie about having stuff when they don't. We all need stuff, widgets, nick-nacks, doodads, bits 'n bobs and gizmos. Without them, we die. That's why getting less of them with the same piece of paper causes us stress. Before we get into the fun stuff(I'm not a weakling, I intend my puns!), I need to lay down a few economic concepts to help you understand what's currently going on with South Africa's inflation. Key Concepts in Plain English Currency appreciation/depreciation - Money value goes up(appreciation) or down(depreciation) based on how much stuff you can get with a picture of Nelson Mandela. Foreign exchange/Forex - Before the forex bros hijacked the term as a clever way of masking their gambling addiction, foreign exchange was what one piece of paper was worth in terms of other pieces of paper. For example, right now (18 July 2022), one picture of George Washington is worth almost 2 pictures of Nelson Mandela. The USD/ZAR forex rate is 16.88 Money Supply - Amount of money (Mandela pics) floating around in the economy and Nkandla. The central bank/"Reserve Bank" prints this money with a lever called the "Prime" interest rate. This is the logic: interest rate goes up -> money printer slows down -> inflation slows down interest rate goes down -> money printer speeds up and goes brrrrrrrrr -> inflation speeds up (Before anyone dalas me with a "Well, Ackchyually..." in the comments section, yes I know about open market operations, reserve ratios, quantitative easing etc. but I'm only bringing the core/most important concepts to the table for the points I wish to make. I don't want an already long post to be longer than a Home Affairs queue). What Gives a Currency Value? Outside a country's borders, it's balance of trade, essentially. If a country exports stuff and gets more cash in return for its exports than the cash it pays for its imports, the currency appreciates in value. Why does it work this way? If an American wants a Zamalek, because their beer tastes like piss, he'll send a South African bank some US dollars. The bank will store those US dollars and give the American some Rand. The Bank will confirm the ewallet and send Rand to the Zamalek exporter. In this case, the Dollar was less valuable to the American because he wanted a Zamalek. In this transaction, the rand mattered and gained value. Conversely, if a South African wants a pair of Converse sneakers and imports them from the US, the same thing happens but in reverse for the Rand. The Rand is less valuable in this transaction because the South African desperately needs to blom and vellies just won't do. If, throughout the year, R 100,000 of Zamaleks were sold and R 50,000 of Converse were bought, the Rand appreciates in value. The forex rate goes from 5 Rand per dollar to 2 Rand per dollar. The Rand is more valuable so it takes less rand to get a dollar. The Americans "threw" their dollars at the South Africans and wanted more Rand. In the case of R 10,000 of Zamaleks were sold and R 250,000 Converse were bought, the Rand depreciates in value. The forex rate goes from 5 Rand per dollar to 10 Rand per dollar. The Rand has depreciated. It is worth less and takes more Rand to buy a dollar. The South Africans threw their Rand at America (and the world). This is the concept of Balance of Trade. There are other factors giving a currency value, but this is the most important. Exports bring in more cash than payments for imports -> Money essentially flocks to the country Imports cost more than what exports are worth -> Your country's currency pollutes the world and becomes worthless Inside a country's borders, There are many factors. Money supply, import costs, whether your country produces its own products or not etc. The more money floats around, the less valuable it is. The more it costs to make stuff, even with valuable currency, stuff gets expensive and that makes your money less valuable. The Fun Stuff The Rand Outside the Borders [Nonsense-talking] ******************* There's a chap in Russia called Vladimir Putin (or, as he's known in Afrikaans, "Vladimir Sit-hom-in"). He wants to give the world a parting gift before he retires, USSR 2.0. This time there are less bugs to the updated Soviet Union because no bugs exist and those who report them will be sent for re-education in Siberia. It will have everything the previous one did but with more, modern nukes and badass sounding trap music. Markul ftw. ******************* [Back to sense] His misadventures in the Ukraine have choked food ports in the Black Sea and now massive amounts of grain and other foodstuffs are just sitting there, rotting. The World Food Price Index. This is bad news for garage pies and Zamalek. Here we have the first reason prices are going up in South Africa. A global phenomenon of more expensive food input costs. Large amounts of the primary ingredients of the food you enjoy are locked up in the Russian invasion of Ukraine. To give you an idea, it includes about 30% of the world's supply of wheat Wait a minute! Doesn't South Africa produce its own food? Why would it need to import wheat? It does. But it still imports wheat. If SA really wants to produce ALL the wheat and other food it needs, I suppose it could but that's another discussion for another day. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has also led to a sharp rise in oil prices. But not in the way you might think. More Russian oil is being shipped than before the war. Russian oil is more abundant than before the war So what's going on? That dip was when the war began, EU drastically cut itself off from Russian Oil. But then Russia gained frantic buyers. (The blue line at the right end is far above the green line. Indicating a much larger demand than supply.) China and India. From 2020 to 2021 China already basically doubled her Russian oil imports from about 25 billion barrels to 40 billion barrels. For 2022 so far, it's up by 55% from last year, according to Reuters. India doubled its 2021 oil consumption in 2 months The Global oil price isn't up because the US is choking their economy with sanctions, it's up because China and India are panic buying oil. South Africa's Balance of Trade South Africa's Exports are worth more than its imports. A very good sign for the Rand. What's that? Optimism? Hope? Yes, even in these times of tumult, South Africa has a healthy export base. As long is this figure stays above zero in the long run, the Rand means something to the world. This indicates that South Africa produces and exports stuff the world wants. The exchange rate is not solely determined by the balance of trade in the short-term but definitely gets priced into the long term. Short-term speculation, demand/supply shocks etc. may be way the current exchange rate is currently running at about R17 per dollar. In the long run the rand is more valuable than R17 per dollar. Trading Economics' Statistical Forecast indicates that SA's balance of payments is on an upward trend. This is not a crystal ball, just an indication of some semblance of hope. The Rand Inside South African Borders The domestic inflation is what hits everybody close to home. While the Rand is doing a good job outside its borders, it's suffering inside. Not quite hyperinflation, but bad nonetheless. Here's the Business Tech Article I sourced the information from. Domestically, the value of the Rand is in trouble. It's value is being pressured from multiple sides. The fuel price is making moving stuff around more expensive. It's also making storing stuff more expensive as during loadshedding, industrial-sized generators keep storage facilities running. Electricity costs more, therefore doing pretty much anything in the economy costs more. Electricity supply is paramount to keeping the South African economy alive, right now, because every business utilizes fuel and electricity to function. The moment businesses suffer rising costs from fuel and electricity, they have to raise prices. See, this article for a nice rundown on how the cooling chain in South Africa is affected by loadshedding. To curb inflation the Reserve Bank will most likely increase the interest rate soon if it has not already. To Be Continued There's a lot more for me to say about South Africa's inflation. Of course, this includes what I have to say about Eskom's employee wage hike by the unions (it's not what you think). I want to make these economic posts digestible for you. I also really want to get into my personal favorite, which includes the economics of policing, crime and security in South Africa, but I'll first lay some groundwork on the most impactful and ubiquitous parts of South African economic life. TL;DR The war in Ukraine is prices go up. Loadshedding is making prices go up. P.S. For the next post I can dive into Eskom Chapter 2, or Inflation Chapter 2, or Security Economics Chapter 1. I suppose I can fire up a poll and see which you anticipate most. Thanks for reading this far if you have. I'd absolutely cherish your input as many of your comments last time were amazing and enlightening. |
 | Delivering a range of Forex and travel-related services to the general public, we take great pride in offering each and every one of our clients the best value for their money and the type of service you won't frequently receive from banks or other huge companies. submitted by r_chals to u/r_chals [link] [comments] #monexmoney #monexexhange #monexmneyexhange #forex #forextrading #investors #travellers #businesses #service #customized #money #cash #money #london https://preview.redd.it/e5g5iu5q0xr91.jpg?width=1349&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fe84ca0d5a6e98ebffce363615ff8825e9b4b3f2 |
The first is by using the Shyft app to transfer ZAR to Wise. It provides one of the better FX fee structures when converting from ZAR to a stronger currency. Shyft does some of what Wise does, but its FX fees are considerably more, and it's just... frustrating to use. The app is nowhere as well made, or functional, as Wise (whether on the Android/iPhone app or web version).
The second is to open a local (SA) foreign currency account (e.g. with FNB, or Discovery Bank), buy the relevant foreign currency, and then send it offshore to your Wise account (using the currency-specific details).
The third -- which I haven't tried personally -- would be to fund your Wise account once you've opened it by using a ZAR credit/debit card. This would trigger all manner of FX fees dependent on your bank and account type, so be sure that you know what to expect first!
Finally, you could use a foreign currency broker from South Africa, like Exchange4Free (who Wise uses as their agent for transfers into South Africa). Again, I haven't tried this and can't speak to the FX fees, but this might be an option to look up.
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IFC Markets Deposit & Withdrawal
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Binary.Com Deposit & Withdrawal
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Vipro Markets Deposit & Withdrawal
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FXTM Deposit & Withdrawal
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HYCM Deposit & Withdrawal
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Tickmill Deposit & Withdrawal
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Central banks in both Poland and Hungary have taken a robust stance.
The Czech National Bank defended its measures by arguing that they were "Fully in line with the CNB's previous communications, which emphasised that the central bank is ready to react to excessive exchange rate fluctuations using its instruments in line with the managed float regime".
The response of central banks across the region has reflected these reserve positions with Czechia, Poland and Romania intervening in markets and Hungary relying on interest rate increases.
Poland's central bank said it was discussing opening foreign-currency swap lines with international counterparts including the ECB, the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank.
National Bank of Poland Governor Adam Glapinski said on Wednesday that he's consulting with Ukraine's central bank, commercial lender PKO Bank Polski SA and its smaller peers to alleviate the problem, calling on the industry to do more.
As far as Poland's central bank governor Adam Glapinski is concerned, one thing is clear.
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