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Former investment bank FX trader: Risk management part II
Firstly, thanks for the overwhelming comments and feedback. Genuinely really appreciated. I am pleased 500+ of you find it useful. If you didn't read the first post you can do so here: risk management part I. You'll need to do so in order to make sense of the topic. As ever please comment/reply below with questions or feedback and I'll do my best to get back to you. Part II
Letting stops breathe
When to change a stop
Entering and exiting winning positions
Risk:reward ratios
Risk-adjusted returns
Letting stops breathe
We talked earlier about giving a position enough room to breathe so it is not stopped out in day-to-day noise. Let’s consider the chart below and imagine you had a trailing stop. It would be super painful to miss out on the wider move just because you left a stop that was too tight. Imagine being long and stopped out on a meaningless retracement ... ouch! One simple technique is simply to look at your chosen chart - let’s say daily bars. And then look at previous trends and use the measuring tool. Those generally look something like this and then you just click and drag to measure. For example if we wanted to bet on a downtrend on the chart above we might look at the biggest retracement on the previous uptrend. That max drawdown was about 100 pips or just under 1%. So you’d want your stop to be able to withstand at least that. If market conditions have changed - for example if CVIX has risen - and daily ranges are now higher you should incorporate that. If you know a big event is coming up you might think about that, too. The human brain is a remarkable tool and the power of the eye-ball method is not to be dismissed. This is how most discretionary traders do it. There are also more analytical approaches. Some look at the Average True Range (ATR). This attempts to capture the volatility of a pair, typically averaged over a number of sessions. It looks at three separate measures and takes the largest reading. Think of this as a moving average of how much a pair moves. For example, below shows the daily move in EURUSD was around 60 pips before spiking to 140 pips in March. Conditions were clearly far more volatile in March. Accordingly, you would need to leave your stop further away in March and take a correspondingly smaller position size. ATR is available on pretty much all charting systems Professional traders tend to use standard deviation as a measure of volatility instead of ATR. There are advantages and disadvantages to both. Averages are useful but can be misleading when regimes switch (see above chart). Once you have chosen a measure of volatility, stop distance can then be back-tested and optimised. For example does 2x ATR work best or 5x ATR for a given style and time horizon? Discretionary traders may still eye-ball the ATR or standard deviation to get a feeling for how it has changed over time and what ‘normal’ feels like for a chosen study period - daily, weekly, monthly etc.
Reasons to change a stop
As a general rule you should be disciplined and not change your stops. Remember - losers average losers. This is really hard at first and we’re going to look at that in more detail later. There are some good reasons to modify stops but they are rare. One reason is if another risk management process demands you stop trading and close positions. We’ll look at this later. In that case just close out your positions at market and take the loss/gains as they are. Another is event risk. If you have some big upcoming data like Non Farm Payrolls that you know can move the market +/- 150 pips and you have no edge going into the release then many traders will take off or scale down their positions. They’ll go back into the positions when the data is out and the market has quietened down after fifteen minutes or so. This is a matter of some debate - many traders consider it a coin toss and argue you win some and lose some and it all averages out. Trailing stops can also be used to ‘lock in’ profits. We looked at those before. As the trade moves in your favour (say up if you are long) the stop loss ratchets with it. This means you may well end up ‘stopping out’ at a profit - as per the below example. The mighty trailing stop loss order It is perfectly reasonable to have your stop loss move in the direction of PNL. This is not exposing you to more risk than you originally were comfortable with. It is taking less and less risk as the trade moves in your favour. Trend-followers in particular love trailing stops. One final question traders ask is what they should do if they get stopped out but still like the trade. Should they try the same trade again a day later for the same reasons? Nope. Look for a different trade rather than getting emotionally wed to the original idea. Let’s say a particular stock looked cheap based on valuation metrics yesterday, you bought, it went down and you got stopped out. Well, it is going to look even better on those same metrics today. Maybe the market just doesn’t respect value at the moment and is driven by momentum. Wait it out. Otherwise, why even have a stop in the first place?
Entering and exiting winning positions
Take profits are the opposite of stop losses. They are also resting orders, left with the broker, to automatically close your position if it reaches a certain price. Imagine I’m long EURUSD at 1.1250. If it hits a previous high of 1.1400 (150 pips higher) I will leave a sell order to take profit and close the position. The rookie mistake on take profits is to take profit too early. One should start from the assumption that you will win on no more than half of your trades. Therefore you will need to ensure that you win more on the ones that work than you lose on those that don’t. Sad to say but incredibly common: retail traders often take profits way too early This is going to be the exact opposite of what your emotions want you to do. We are going to look at that in the Psychology of Trading chapter. Remember: let winners run. Just like stops you need to know in advance the level where you will close out at a profit. Then let the trade happen. Don’t override yourself and let emotions force you to take a small profit. A classic mistake to avoid. The trader puts on a trade and it almost stops out before rebounding. As soon as it is slightly in the money they spook and cut out, instead of letting it run to their original take profit. Do not do this.
Entering positions with limit orders
That covers exiting a position but how about getting into one? Take profits can also be left speculatively to enter a position. Sometimes referred to as “bids” (buy orders) or “offers” (sell orders). Imagine the price is 1.1250 and the recent low is 1.1205. You might wish to leave a bid around 1.2010 to enter a long position, if the market reaches that price. This way you don’t need to sit at the computer and wait. Again, typically traders will use tech analysis to identify attractive levels. Again - other traders will cluster with your orders. Just like the stop loss we need to bake that in. So this time if we know everyone is going to buy around the recent low of 1.1205 we might leave the take profit bit a little bit above there at 1.1210 to ensure it gets done. Sure it costs 5 more pips but how mad would you be if the low was 1.1207 and then it rallied a hundred points and you didn’t have the trade on?! There are two more methods that traders often use for entering a position. Scaling in is one such technique. Let’s imagine that you think we are in a long-term bulltrend for AUDUSD but experiencing a brief retracement. You want to take a total position of 500,000 AUD and don’t have a strong view on the current price action. You might therefore leave a series of five bids of 100,000. As the price moves lower each one gets hit. The nice thing about scaling in is it reduces pressure on you to pick the perfect level. Of course the risk is that not all your orders get hit before the price moves higher and you have to trade at-market. Pyramiding is the second technique. Pyramiding is for take profits what a trailing stop loss is to regular stops. It is especially common for momentum traders. Pyramiding into a position means buying more as it goes in your favour Again let’s imagine we’re bullish AUDUSD and want to take a position of 500,000 AUD. Here we add 100,000 when our first signal is reached. Then we add subsequent clips of 100,000 when the trade moves in our favour. We are waiting for confirmation that the move is correct. Obviously this is quite nice as we humans love trading when it goes in our direction. However, the drawback is obvious: we haven’t had the full amount of risk on from the start of the trend. You can see the attractions and drawbacks of both approaches. It is best to experiment and choose techniques that work for your own personal psychology as these will be the easiest for you to stick with and build a disciplined process around.
Risk:reward and win ratios
Be extremely skeptical of people who claim to win on 80% of trades. Most traders will win on roughly 50% of trades and lose on 50% of trades. This is why risk management is so important! Once you start keeping a trading journal you’ll be able to see how the win/loss ratio looks for you. Until then, assume you’re typical and that every other trade will lose money. If that is the case then you need to be sure you make more on the wins than you lose on the losses. You can see the effect of this below. A combination of win % and risk:reward ratio determine if you are profitable A typical rule of thumb is that a ratio of 1:3 works well for most traders. That is, if you are prepared to risk 100 pips on your stop you should be setting a take profit at a level that would return you 300 pips. One needn’t be religious about these numbers - 11 pips and 28 pips would be perfectly fine - but they are a guideline. Again - you should still use technical analysis to find meaningful chart levels for both the stop and take profit. Don’t just blindly take your stop distance and do 3x the pips on the other side as your take profit. Use the ratio to set approximate targets and then look for a relevant resistance or support level in that kind of region.
Risk-adjusted returns
Not all returns are equal. Suppose you are examining the track record of two traders. Now, both have produced a return of 14% over the year. Not bad! The first trader, however, made hundreds of small bets throughout the year and his cumulative PNL looked like the left image below. The second trader made just one bet — he sold CADJPY at the start of the year — and his PNL looked like the right image below with lots of large drawdowns and volatility. Would you rather have the first trading record or the second? If you were investing money and betting on who would do well next year which would you choose? Of course all sensible people would choose the first trader. Yet if you look only at returns one cannot distinguish between the two. Both are up 14% at that point in time. This is where the Sharpe ratio helps . A high Sharpe ratio indicates that a portfolio has better risk-adjusted performance. One cannot sensibly compare returns without considering the risk taken to earn that return. If I can earn 80% of the return of another investor at only 50% of the risk then a rational investor should simply leverage me at 2x and enjoy 160% of the return at the same level of risk. This is very important in the context of Execution Advisor algorithms (EAs) that are popular in the retail community. You must evaluate historic performance by its risk-adjusted return — not just the nominal return. Incidentally look at the Sharpe ratio of ones that have been live for a year or more ... Otherwise an EA developer could produce two EAs: the first simply buys at 1000:1 leverage on January 1st ; and the second sells in the same manner. At the end of the year, one of them will be discarded and the other will look incredible. Its risk-adjusted return, however, would be abysmal and the odds of repeated success are similarly poor.
Sharpe ratio
The Sharpe ratio works like this:
It takes the average returns of your strategy;
It deducts from these the risk-free rate of return i.e. the rate anyone could have got by investing in US government bonds with very little risk;
It then divides this total return by its own volatility - the more smooth the return the higher and better the Sharpe, the more volatile the lower and worse the Sharpe.
For example, say the return last year was 15% with a volatility of 10% and US bonds are trading at 2%. That gives (15-2)/10 or a Sharpe ratio of 1.3. As a rule of thumb a Sharpe ratio of above 0.5 would be considered decent for a discretionary retail trader. Above 1 is excellent. You don’t really need to know how to calculate Sharpe ratios. Good trading software will do this for you. It will either be available in the system by default or you can add a plug-in.
VAR
VAR is another useful measure to help with drawdowns. It stands for Value at Risk. Normally people will use 99% VAR (conservative) or 95% VAR (aggressive). Let’s say you’re long EURUSD and using 95% VAR. The system will look at the historic movement of EURUSD. It might spit out a number of -1.2%. A 5% VAR of -1.2% tells you you should expect to lose 1.2% on 5% of days, whilst 95% of days should be better than that This means it is expected that on 5 days out of 100 (hence the 95%) the portfolio will lose 1.2% or more. This can help you manage your capital by taking appropriately sized positions. Typically you would look at VAR across your portfolio of trades rather than trade by trade. Sharpe ratios and VAR don’t give you the whole picture, though. Legendary fund manager, Howard Marks of Oaktree, notes that, while tools like VAR and Sharpe ratios are helpful and absolutely necessary, the best investors will also overlay their own judgment. Investors can calculate risk metrics like VaR and Sharpe ratios (we use them at Oaktree; they’re the best tools we have), but they shouldn’t put too much faith in them. The bottom line for me is that risk management should be the responsibility of every participant in the investment process, applying experience, judgment and knowledge of the underlying investments.Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital What he’s saying is don’t misplace your common sense. Do use these tools as they are helpful. However, you cannot fully rely on them. Both assume a normal distribution of returns. Whereas in real life you get “black swans” - events that should supposedly happen only once every thousand years but which actually seem to happen fairly often. These outlier events are often referred to as “tail risk”. Don’t make the mistake of saying “well, the model said…” - overlay what the model is telling you with your own common sense and good judgment.
Coming up in part III
Available here Squeezes and other risks Market positioning Bet correlation Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits *** Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
A lot of people over complicate Forex and will see some bizarre strats e.g MACD, EMA, ITCHI and RSI.Sooo whats the problem with that hypothetical strat? It has 3 Trend indicators in it which doesnt really make much sense does it? why would you need 3 indicators all to tell you the same thing? They dont exponentially increase likeliness of being right with more of them. So why do people do this (and why did i do this?) Because they kinda just grab some indicators they've heard some good things about and chuck them together or even just random default ones, none of which serve a purpose to painting the picture of the market. How to start using indicators to paint the picture of the market? Before i get into it and the PA brigade come, it is completely possible to spot all the things im going to list below with just price action and your noggin, but it takes a lot of damn work. When you actually break the market down it becomes a lot simpler and when i was given this by my mentor it took me on a much better path in forex. The market is comprised of 4 components;
Support & Resistance - S&R is there to make sure there is a reason for it to turn around at this area
Trend - To confirm the new trend
Momentum - Momentum is there to find area's where price is in extreme's
Volatility - Volatility to make sure it has enough Volatility for it to turn around
I use this formula as the basis for all my strat's and my Mentor use's it aswell, its incredibly simple but often incredibly over looked. Example's Of Trades I have labled 1 to 4 on images and they relate to the Forumula above, explanation will be below Trade 1 📷https://gyazo.com/c257d8790abea2083416fbc9643bdf3e 1 + 2 = Itchi (trend) and BB (Volatility) BB was broken and Itchi changed to upwards. 3 = SR that our EA placed 4 = Momentum changed. Trade 2 https://gyazo.com/6ed328786f832266e4f488d5788b930d (1,2,3,4 is the same as above) Trade 3 https://gyazo.com/9989a9ae5aa1be6c7042d1e87842181d (1,2,3,4 is the same as above) Any questions shoot away EDIT: Exits; Exits are based on the same formula, a TL:DR would be i need all 4 parts of the market to enter and only need about 2 or 3 to exits (some times 1 in rare cases) EDIT: Because people cant understand what i mean by this "A lot of people over complicate Forex and will see some bizarre strats e.g MACD, EMA, ITCHI and RSI.Sooo whats the problem with that hypothetical strat? It has 3 Trend indicators in it which doesnt really make much sense does it? why would you need 3 indicators all to tell you the same thing? They dont exponentially increase likeliness of being right with more of them." I am NOT ripping on indicators at all im "ripping" on people (who like my self) used to make the mistake of taking random indicators and having multiple indicators telling you the exact same thing, in the majority of situations you do NOT need multiple trend indicators, multiple volatility indicators or multiple S&R indicators. Majority of the time you need ONE indicator for each as using 5 trend indicators does not increase the chance of them being correct by 1000's of %, the one that I use multiple of is the oscillator, its a custom built one that is then scaled up so the medium and long term one is just the short term one scaled to higher time frames to get a larger picture
How to get started in Forex - A comprehensive guide for newbies
Almost every day people come to this subreddit asking the same basic questions over and over again. I've put this guide together to point you in the right direction and help you get started on your forex journey. A quick background on me before you ask: My name is Bob, I'm based out of western Canada. I started my forex journey back in January 2018 and am still learning. However I am trading live, not on demo accounts. I also code my own EA's. I not certified, licensed, insured, or even remotely qualified as a professional in the finance industry. Nothing I say constitutes financial advice. Take what I'm saying with a grain of salt, but everything I've outlined below is a synopsis of some tough lessons I've learned over the last year of being in this business. LET'S GET SOME UNPLEASANTNESS OUT OF THE WAY I'm going to call you stupid. I'm also going to call you dumb. I'm going to call you many other things. I do this because odds are, you are stupid, foolish,and just asking to have your money taken away. Welcome to the 95% of retail traders. Perhaps uneducated or uninformed are better phrases, but I've never been a big proponent of being politically correct. Want to get out of the 95% and join the 5% of us who actually make money doing this? Put your grown up pants on, buck up, and don't give me any of this pc "This is hurting my feelings so I'm not going to listen to you" bullshit that the world has been moving towards. Let's rip the bandage off quickly on this point - the world does not give a fuck about you. At one point maybe it did, it was this amazing vision nicknamed the American Dream. It died an agonizing, horrible death at the hand of capitalists and entrepreneurs. The world today revolves around money. Your money, my money, everybody's money. People want to take your money to add it to theirs. They don't give a fuck if it forces you out on the street and your family has to live in cardboard box. The world just stopped caring in general. It sucks, but it's the way the world works now. Welcome to the new world order. It's called Capitalism. And here comes the next hard truth that you will need to accept - Forex is a cruel bitch of a mistress. She will hurt you. She will torment you. She will give you nightmares. She will keep you awake at night. And then she will tease you with a glimmer of hope to lure you into a false sense of security before she then guts you like a fish and shows you what your insides look like. This statement applies to all trading markets - they are cruel, ruthless, and not for the weak minded. The sooner you accept these truths, the sooner you will become profitable. Don't accept it? That's fine. Don't bother reading any further. If I've offended you I don't give a fuck. You can run back home and hide under your bed. The world doesn't care and neither do I. For what it's worth - I am not normally an major condescending asshole like the above paragraphs would suggest. In fact, if you look through my posts on this subreddit you will see I am actually quite helpful most of the time to many people who come here. But I need you to really understand that Forex is not for most people. It will make you cry. And if the markets themselves don't do it, the people in the markets will. LESSON 1 - LEARN THE BASICS Save yourself and everybody here a bunch of time - learn the basics of forex. You can learn the basics for free - BabyPips has one of the best free courses online which explains what exactly forex is, how it works, different strategies and methods of how to approach trading, and many other amazing topics. You can access the BabyPips course by clicking this link: https://www.babypips.com/learn/forex Do EVERY course in the School of Pipsology. It's free, it's comprehensive, and it will save you from a lot of trouble. It also has the added benefit of preventing you from looking foolish and uneducated when you come here asking for help if you already know this stuff. If you still have questions about how forex works, please see the FREE RESOURCES links on the /Forex FAQ which can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/wiki/index Quiz Time Answer these questions truthfully to yourself: -What is the difference between a market order, a stop order, and a limit order? -How do you draw a support/resistance line? (Demonstrate it to yourself) -What is the difference between MACD, RSI, and Stochastic indicators? -What is fundamental analysis and how does it differ from technical analysis and price action trading? -True or False: It's better to have a broker who gives you 500:1 margin instead of 50:1 margin. Be able to justify your reasoning. If you don't know to answer to any of these questions, then you aren't ready to move on. Go back to the School of Pipsology linked above and do it all again. If you can answer these questions without having to refer to any kind of reference then congratulations, you are ready to move past being a forex newbie and are ready to dive into the wonderful world of currency trading! Move onto Lesson 2 below. LESSON 2 - RANDOM STRANGERS ARE NOT GOING TO HELP YOU GET RICH IN FOREX This may come as a bit of a shock to you, but that random stranger on instagram who is posting about how he is killing it on forex is not trying to insprire you to greatness. He's also not trying to help you. He's also not trying to teach you how to attain financial freedom. 99.99999% of people posting about wanting to help you become rich in forex are LYING TO YOU. Why would such nice, polite people do such a thing? Because THEY ARE TRYING TO PROFIT FROM YOUR STUPIDITY. Plain and simple. Here's just a few ways these "experts" and "gurus" profit from you:
Referral Links - If they require you to click a specific link to signup for something, it means they are an affiliate. They get a commission from whatever the third party is that they are sending you to. I don't care if it's a brokerage, training program, hell even an Amazon link to a book - if they insist you have to click their super exclusive, can't-get-this-deal-any-other-way-but-clicking-my-link type bullshit, it's an affiliate link. There is nothing inherently wrong with affiliate programs, but you are literally generating money for some stranger because they convinced you to buy something. Some brokers such as ICMarkets have affiliate programs that payout a percentage of the commission you generate - this is a really clever system - whether you profit or blow your entire account, the person who referred you to the broker makes a profit off you. Clever eh?
Signal Services, Education & Training Programs, Courses - If somebody is telling you they are making a killing with a signal service and are trying to convince you to join it, I guarantee they are getting a piece of your monthly fee. And better still, these signal services often work...for about a week. Just long enough to suck a bunch of poor fools into it. You see people making money, you want in so you agree to pay the $200+/month subscription fee. You follow the signals and it looks like it's making money for a few days or weeks. Then it turns sideways, you start losing money hand over fist. Pretty soon you have lost most of your trading account because you blindly followed a signal service. And better still - when you go screaming at the person running the signal service they will be very quick to point you to their No Refunds policy. To add insult to injury, the buttfucker that referred you to the signal service in the past will likely listen to you getting mad, and then come back with something like "Sorry it didn't work out, but I just joined this other amazing service and it's working great, you should come join it to earn your money back. Here's my link..." You get the point here right?
Multi-Level Marketing (MLMs) - These people are scum. They are going to offer you training and education, signals, access to forex experts and gurus, and all kinds of other shit with the promise that you will live the dream and become financially free. They are also loading you into a pyrmaid scheme where you will be hounded to recruit other people and make money off them just like you got roped into it. A really prime example here is iMarkets Live (or IML for short). Don't touch this shit with a 10 foot pole. I don't care what they are claiming, you will lose everything using them.
Fund Managers - These people make my skin crawl. It's a classic scam and it works like this - somebody will post online about how much money they are making trading forex/commodities/stocks/whatever. Most of the time they won't explicitly post they are offering a trading service, rather they just put the message out there and wait for the ignorant masses (that's you) to contact them. They will charm you. They will lie to you. They will promise you the moon if you simply wire them some money or give them API access to your trading account. Care to guess what happens next? If you send a wire transfer (or Western Union...hell any kind of payment to them) they will vanish. Happens usually after they take a bunch of suckers for the ride. You sent them $2,000 and so do 9 other suckers. They just made $20,000 and are gone. With API access to your account, you will find your account gets blown super fast or worse - possibly leaving you open to persecution by the broker you are using.
These are just a few examples. The reality is that very few people make it big in forex or any kind of trading. If somebody is trying to sell you the dream, they are essentially a magician - making you look the other way while they snatch your wallet and clean you out. Additionally, on the topic of fund managers - legitimate fund managers will be certified, licensed, and insured. Ask them for proof of those 3 things. What they typically look like are:
Certified - This varies from country to country, in the US it's FINRA (http://www.finra.org). They need to have their Series 7 certification minimum. You can make the case that other FINRA certifications are acceptable in lieu of Series 7, but the 7 is the gold standard.
Licensed - They need to have a valid business license issued by the government. It must clearly state they are an investment company, preferrably a hedge fund because they have some super strict requirements to operate (and often require $25,000+ in fees just to get their business license, so you know they at least have some skin in the game).
Insured - They need to be backed by an insurance company. I'm not talking general insurance for shit like their office burning down. I'm talking about a government-implemented protection insurance program - in the US I believe that is issued by the Securities Investment Protection Corporation (https://www.sipc.org/).
If you are talking to a fund manager and they are insisting they have all of these, get a copy of their verification documents and lookup their licenses on the directories of the issuers to verify they are valid. If they are, then at least you are talking to somebody who seems to have their shit together and is doing investment management and trading as a professional and you are at least partially protected when the shit hits the fan. LESSON 3 - UNDERSTAND YOUR RISK Many people jump into Forex, drop $2000 into a broker account and start trading 1 lot orders because they signed up with a broker thinking they will get rich because they were given 500:1 margin and can risk it all on each trade. Worst-case scenario you lose your account, best case scenario you become a millionaire very quickly. Seems like a pretty good gamble right? You are dead wrong. As a new trader, you should never risk more than 1% of your account balance on a trade. If you have some experience and are confident and doing well, then it's perfectly natural to risk 2-3% of your account per trade. Anybody who risks more than 4-5% of their account on a single trade deserves to blow their account. At that point you aren't trading, you are gambling. Don't pretend you are a trader when really you are just putting everything on red and hoping the roulette ball lands in the right spot. It's stupid and reckless and going to screw you very quickly. Let's do some math here: You put $2,000 into your trading account. Risking 1% means you are willing to lose $20 per trade. That means you are going to be trading micro lots, or 0.01 lots most likely ($0.10/pip). At that level you can have a trade stop loss at -200 pips and only lose $20. It's the best starting point for anybody. Additionally, if you SL 20 trades in a row you are only down $200 (or 10% of your account) which isn't that difficult to recover from. Risking 3% means you are willing to lose $60 per trade. You could do mini lots at this point, which is 0.1 lots (or $1/pip). Let's say you SL on 20 trades in a row. You've just lost $1,200 or 60% of your account. Even veteran traders will go through periods of repeat SL'ing, you are not a special snowflake and are not immune to periods of major drawdown. Risking 5% means you are willing to lose $100 per trade. SL 20 trades in a row, your account is blown. As Red Foreman would call it - Good job dumbass. Never risk more than 1% of your account on any trade until you can show that you are either consistently breaking even or making a profit. By consistently, I mean 200 trades minimum. You do 200 trades over a period of time and either break-even or make a profit, then you should be alright to increase your risk. Unfortunately, this is where many retail traders get greedy and blow it. They will do 10 trades and hit their profit target on 9 of them. They will start seeing huge piles of money in their future and get greedy. They will start taking more risk on their trades than their account can handle. 200 trades of break-even or profitable performance risking 1% per trade. Don't even think about increasing your risk tolerance until you do it. When you get to this point, increase you risk to 2%. Do 1,000 trades at this level and show break-even or profit. If you blow your account, go back down to 1% until you can figure out what the hell you did differently or wrong, fix your strategy, and try again. Once you clear 1,000 trades at 2%, it's really up to you if you want to increase your risk. I don't recommend it. Even 2% is bordering on gambling to be honest. LESSON 4 - THE 500 PIP DRAWDOWN RULE This is a rule I created for myself and it's a great way to help protect your account from blowing. Sometimes the market goes insane. Like really insane. Insane to the point that your broker can't keep up and they can't hold your orders to the SL and TP levels you specified. They will try, but during a flash crash like we had at the start of January 2019 the rules can sometimes go flying out the window on account of the trading servers being unable to keep up with all the shit that's hitting the fan. Because of this I live by a rule I call the 500 Pip Drawdown Rule and it's really quite simple - Have enough funds in your account to cover a 500 pip drawdown on your largest open trade. I don't care if you set a SL of -50 pips. During a flash crash that shit sometimes just breaks. So let's use an example - you open a 0.1 lot short order on USDCAD and set the SL to 50 pips (so you'd only lose $50 if you hit stoploss). An hour later Trump makes some absurd announcement which causes a massive fundamental event on the market. A flash crash happens and over the course of the next few minutes USDCAD spikes up 500 pips, your broker is struggling to keep shit under control and your order slips through the cracks. By the time your broker is able to clear the backlog of orders and activity, your order closes out at 500 pips in the red. You just lost $500 when you intended initially to only risk $50. It gets kinda scary if you are dealing with whole lot orders. A single order with a 500 pip drawdown is $5,000 gone in an instant. That will decimate many trader accounts. Remember my statements above about Forex being a cruel bitch of a mistress? I wasn't kidding. Granted - the above scenario is very rare to actually happen. But glitches to happen from time to time. Broker servers go offline. Weird shit happens which sets off a fundamental shift. Lots of stuff can break your account very quickly if you aren't using proper risk management. LESSON 5 - UNDERSTAND DIFFERENT TRADING METHODOLOGIES Generally speaking, there are 3 trading methodologies that traders employ. It's important to figure out what method you intend to use before asking for help. Each has their pros and cons, and you can combine them in a somewhat hybrid methodology but that introduces challenges as well. In a nutshell:
Price Action Trading (Sometimes called Naked Trading) is very effective at identifying when trends will start and finish. This gives you the advantage of staying ahead of the market and predicting when a change in trend direction will occur. It has the disadvantage of being really easy to screw it up if you don't plot your support and resistance lines properly and interpret the chart wrong. Because you can identify a change in trend direction, you'll generally make more profit on a new trend than a technical strategy will.
Technical Analytics (or TA) uses math and statistics to try and identify where the market is headed or confirm/reject whether a trend is happening. It has the advantage of being very math and stat driven which is hard to refute the numbers, but it has the disadvantage of being late to the party when it comes to identifying trends (hence why people call TA a lagging strategy). When people fail using TA, it's not because of the math - it's because you misinterpreted what the math is telling you.
Fundamental Analysis (or FA) uses news and macro scale events to predict what is going on. A really good example right now is Brexit, what a clusterfuck that is. Every time some major brexit news breaks it causes all sorts of choas in almost every currency pair. Fundamental trading has the highest potential profitability per trade but it also has the highest potential drawdown per trade.
Now you may be thinking that you want to be a a price action trader - you should still learn the principles and concepts behind TA and FA. Same if you are planning to be a technical trader - you should learn about price action and fundamental analysis. More knowledge is better, always. With regards to technical analysis, you need to really understand what the different indicators are tell you. It's very easy to misinterpret what an indicator is telling you, which causes you to make a bad trade and lose money. It's also important to understand that every indicator can be tuned to your personal preferences. You might find, for example, that using Bollinger Bands with the normal 20 period SMA close, 2 standard deviation is not effective for how you look at the chart, but changing that to say a 20 period EMA average price, 1 standard deviation bollinger band indicator could give you significantly more insight. LESSON 6 - TIMEFRAMES MATTER Understanding the differences in which timeframes you trade on will make or break your chosen strategy. Some strategies work really well on Daily timeframes (i.e. Ichimoku) but they fall flat on their face if you use them on 1H timeframes, for example. There is no right or wrong answer on what timeframe is best to trade on. Generally speaking however, there are 2 things to consider:
Speed - If you are scalping (trading on the really fast candles like 1M, 5M, 15M, etc) odds are your trades are very short lived. Maybe 10 minutes to an hour tops. For the most part, scalping strategies will produce little profit per trade but make up for it in the sheer volume of trades. Whereas swing trading may only make a few trades but each one could be worth a significant amount of money.
Spread (the fee you pay to the broker when you trade) - If you are a scalper, the spread is your worst enemy because you have to overcome it very fast to make a profit on your order. Whereas swing trading the spread hardly impacts you at all.
If you are a total newbie to forex, I suggest you don't trade on anything shorter than the 1H timeframe when you are first learning. Trading on higher timeframes tends to be much more forgiving and profitable per trade. Scalping is a delicate art and requires finesse and can be very challenging when you are first starting out. LESSON 7 - AUTOBOTS...ROLL OUT! Yeah...I'm a geek and grew up with the Transformers franchise decades before Michael Bay came along. Deal with it. Forex bots are called EA's (Expert Advisors). They can be wonderous and devastating at the same time. /Forex is not really the best place to get help with them. That is what /algotrading is useful for. However some of us that lurk on /Forex code EA's and will try to assist when we can. Anybody can learn to code an EA. But just like how 95% of retail traders fail, I would estimate the same is true for forex bots. Either the strategy doesn't work, the code is buggy, or many other reasons can cause EA's to fail. Because EA's can often times run up hundreds of orders in a very quick period of time, it's critical that you test them repeatedly before letting them lose on a live trading account so they don't blow your account to pieces. You have been warned. If you want to learn how to code an EA, I suggest you start with MQL. It's a programming language which can be directly interpretted by Meta Trader. The Meta Trader terminal client even gives you a built in IDE for coding EA's in MQL. The downside is it can be buggy and glitchy and caused many frustrating hours of work to figure out what is wrong. If you don't want to learn MQL, you can code an EA up in just about any programming language. Python is really popular for forex bots for some reason. But that doesn't mean you couldn't do it in something like C++ or Java or hell even something more unusual like JQuery if you really wanted. I'm not going to get into the finer details of how to code EA's, there are some amazing guides out there. Just be careful with them. They can be your best friend and at the same time also your worst enemy when it comes to forex. One final note on EA's - don't buy them. Ever. Let me put this into perspective - I create an EA which is literally producing money for me automatically 24/5. If it really is a good EA which is profitable, there is no way in hell I'm selling it. I'm keeping it to myself to make a fortune off of. EA's that are for sale will not work, will blow your account, and the developer who coded it will tell you that's too darn bad but no refunds. Don't ever buy an EA from anybody. LESSON 8 - BRING ON THE HATERS You are going to find that this subreddit is frequented by trolls. Some of them will get really nasty. Some of them will threaten you. Some of them will just make you miserable. It's the price you pay for admission to the /Forex club. If you can't handle it, then I suggest you don't post here. Find a more newbie-friendly site. It sucks, but it's reality. We often refer to trolls on this subreddit as shitcunts. That's your word of the day. Learn it, love it. Shitcunts. YOU MADE IT, WELCOME TO FOREX! If you've made it through all of the above and aren't cringing or getting scared, then welcome aboard the forex train! You will fit in nicely here. Ask your questions and the non-shitcunts of our little corner of reddit will try to help you. Assuming this post doesn't get nuked and I don't get banned for it, I'll add more lessons to this post over time. Lessons I intend to add in the future:
Demo Trading
Why you will blow your first account and what to do when it happens
Trading Psychology (this will be a beefy one and will take a while to put together)
Exotics vs Majors and which you should focus on as a newbie (aka how to blow your account in a single trade with exotics)
Hedging (there isn't really a good guide written on this anywhere)
Doubling Your Risk to Save Your Ass or Lose a Shit Ton (aka Martingale & Anti-Martingale)
Risk On/Off
Forex Calendars
Currency Strength / Heat Maps
Swap
Margin Calls (What are they and why are you getting them?)
If there is something else you feel should be included please drop a comment and I'll add it to the above list of pending topics. Cheers, Bob
/trading and /forex are dead so I thought I would post in here. Feel free to ask me anything. I am not a guru, and am just looking to help aspiring traders by cutting through the many misconceptions that exist around trading. I have spent a LOT of time learning how to trade consistently and profitably. I have also spent a LOT of time learning how to do things that do not work. What works for me may differ with what works for you, I can only comment based on my own experience of what works. I have tried using hundreds of different indicators and combinations thereof, I have also done extensive backtesting and data mining and can advise somewhat on my experience with that. I have tried trading with EAs. However, these are things that do not work for me. I consistently and profitably trade using horizontal support and resistance and a fibonacci scale. This method is sometimes referred to as "Price Action" or "Naked" trading in online forums. I also use angular support and resistance (trendlines), but less often. The market is very simple if you let it be. I trade patterns that constantly repeat themselves in the market. They repeat consistently, I see them again and again and again. I do not know the outcome of each trade before I take it. I cannot tell the future, and I do not believe anyone who says that they can. Because I cannot tell the future, I cannot eliminate losing trades entirely, and they form part of my profitable trading. I owe much of my initial trading belief to a group of traders that I met online. I have since met these people in person to confirm their situations. Their advice has always been free and I am deeply thankful for their mentoring, these traders helped me to believe that consistently profitable trading was possible. These traders trade different markets using different methods, but each is able to be consistenly profitable and trade for a living. I believe that having profitable traders to talk to day-in-day-out greatly helps the learning process. Having said that, I do not currently trade for a living and I do maintain a fulltime job. This will change in years to come as I get a better idea of what to expect from the market week to week, month to month. Trading Forex is not a consistent income in the same way that a wage is - profits fluctuate, as the market is dynamic - and there are practicalities that need to be considered before I leave the workforce and commit to trading fulltime. I am currently learning to trade the DAX by paper trading. I aim to take smaller profts on a daily basis from the DAX to supplement my Forex trading. This more consistent income will assist me in being able to leave the workforce. A large amount of capital is NOT necessarily required to trade for a living.. Anything that I can help with? Ask away
Watching Wall Street boast its best start to a year in over a decade, investors are turning their focus to the fourth quarter earnings season, with results beginning to trickle in this week. Traders are focusing on the recent U.S. tax overhaul, which could provide breathtaking numbers, but it will not affect stock prices much. ECONOMIES German factory orders in Europe's biggest economy slipped by 0.4% in November after three months of gains. The dip was largely due to fluctuations in bulk orders but the overall trend remains positive. China's forex reserves posted an eleventh straight monthly increase in December, $20.7B, taking the full-year increase of the world's largest foreign-currency stockpile to $129B. The FED should raise interest rates three times this year, given the already strong economy will get a boost from tax cuts. ARAMCO’s 5% IS FOR SALE Aligning its strategy with peers, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), CEO Ben van Beurden said that growth of competitor Shell's (RDS.A) oil and gas operations in the next decade will depend on shale production. On what else?! Candies? What a discovery! Saudi Aramco and some of the kingdom's biggest companies said they'll pay Saudi staff more money, matching a royal order amid rising prices. Saudi Arabia seeks to sell as much as 5% of Aramco. CRYPTO The SEC has received a request to allow five bitcoin-related ETFs to be listed on Arca, a secondary marketplace on the NYSE. The instruments, are not tied to the price of the cryptocurrency itself, but would track bitcoin futures. AT&T BACKS DOWN AT&T (T) is backing away from a plan to sell phones made by Chinese handset giant Huawei, on the eve of a big announcement of the deal. The deal that Huawei was set to announce tomorrow would have been its first partnership with a major U.S. carrier, but AT&T has changed its mind. So far it is not clear why AT&T backed down, but there are two issues occur. Are Huawei's phones carry spyware? Is it because the US wants to have domestic competition? At one point we’ll have the answer. THERE ARE NO JEDIS IN CHINA $36 million in third-week grosses, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony) finally toppled Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) from the top of the box-office charts. Disney made an impressive $1.2 billion, but it is far from the estimated $2 billion. It seems that China has no Jedis, the movie made only 26% of expectations in the country. The Force is weak in China. NVIDIA, VOLKSWAGEN, UBER, AI Making further gains in the autonomous vehicle industry, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with Uber and Volkswagen on AI platforms. So far, 320 companies involved in self-driving cars - whether software developers, automakers, or sensor and mapping companies - are using Nvidia Drive, formerly branded as the Drive PX2, proven that there is more than cryptomining to the company! WHIRLPOOL KICKS OFF CES2018 Apple (AAPL) Watch users will soon have the ability to control Whirlpool (WHR) appliances through the wearable. Whirlpool announced the development at CES and said the compatibility would come later this year to 20 connected appliances. Whirlpool says Amazon (AMZN) Alexa and Google (GOOGC) Assistant voice controls will also arrive in 2018. SPACEX - THE FIRST LAUNCH OF 2018 SpaceX successfully launched a secret U.S. government payload called Zuma on Sunday and landed its rocket back on Earth. The Falcon 9 powered a spacecraft made by Northrop Grumman, which was sent into low-Earth orbit. SpaceX is now looking towards its next challenge, launching the Falcon Heavy - its largest rocket to date - at the end of January, meanwhile Tesla’s stock price soared higher. #DAILY PICK Amazon (AMZN) Alexa Onboard was introduced yesterday. Another green day. Electronic Arts (EA) is upgraded to Buy, new PT is $130. Applied Materials (AMAT) also got an upgrade, double bottom formed, ready to rock! Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had great presentation at JPM Healthcare conference. Climbing steady. PayPal (PYPL) one day transfer, instant debit card transfer. Smells like blockchain integration. But who cares?! $86 on the way. Tight stop people! FX WORLD Not a lot happened on Monday, mostly momentum trading was possible. It doesn’t seem to be busy today either, still look for the correct entry points! The EURUSD initially took off to the upside, then broke down to the 1.20 area. 1.19 offers support, where the pair can find buyers and clear the 1.21 level. The GBPUSD didn’t do a lot, which is a sign that it is trying to break out. 1.365 offers resistance, if we break above, the pair will aim higher. 1.3333 is supportive underneath. The USDJPY did a lot of back and forth move during Monday, but couldn’t clear 113.5. Expect pull backs, which will offer good entry points, the pair eventually will break out on top! 112 is kind of an absolut floor. TODAY’s MARKET In Asia ASX200 +0.13% (6,130.3) HANG SHENG +0.11% (30,869) NIKKEI +0.99% (23,849.5) SHANGHAI +0.52% (4,178.5) In Europe DAX30 +0.36% (13,367.78) FTSE100 -0.36% (7,696.5) BUX +0.27% (40,1.4) CAC40 +0.30% (5,487.4) In US Dow -0.05% (25,283) S&P500 +0.17% (2,747.7) NASDAQ +0.29% (7,157.4) Crude +0.12% ($62.21) Gold -0.10% ($1,319.05) Today's Economic Calendar CHF - Unemployment rate EUR - German trade balance EUR - French trade balance EUR - Unemployment rate USD - JOLTS job openings Check our blog for more information:https://www.gtc.news/single-post/DT18009EN
Watching Wall Street boast its best start to a year in over a decade, investors are turning their focus to the fourth quarter earnings season, with results beginning to trickle in this week. Traders are focusing on the recent U.S. tax overhaul, which could provide breathtaking numbers, but it will not affect stock prices much. ECONOMIES German factory orders in Europe's biggest economy slipped by 0.4% in November after three months of gains. The dip was largely due to fluctuations in bulk orders but the overall trend remains positive. China's forex reserves posted an eleventh straight monthly increase in December, $20.7B, taking the full-year increase of the world's largest foreign-currency stockpile to $129B. The FED should raise interest rates three times this year, given the already strong economy will get a boost from tax cuts. ARAMCO’s 5% IS FOR SALE Aligning its strategy with peers, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), CEO Ben van Beurden said that growth of competitor Shell's (RDS.A) oil and gas operations in the next decade will depend on shale production. On what else?! Candies? What a discovery! Saudi Aramco and some of the kingdom's biggest companies said they'll pay Saudi staff more money, matching a royal order amid rising prices. Saudi Arabia seeks to sell as much as 5% of Aramco. CRYPTO The SEC has received a request to allow five bitcoin-related ETFs to be listed on Arca, a secondary marketplace on the NYSE. The instruments, are not tied to the price of the cryptocurrency itself, but would track bitcoin futures. AT&T BACKS DOWN AT&T (T) is backing away from a plan to sell phones made by Chinese handset giant Huawei, on the eve of a big announcement of the deal. The deal that Huawei was set to announce tomorrow would have been its first partnership with a major U.S. carrier, but AT&T has changed its mind. So far it is not clear why AT&T backed down, but there are two issues occur. Are Huawei's phones carry spyware? Is it because the US wants to have domestic competition? At one point we’ll have the answer. THERE ARE NO JEDIS IN CHINA $36 million in third-week grosses, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony) finally toppled Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) from the top of the box-office charts. Disney made an impressive $1.2 billion, but it is far from the estimated $2 billion. It seems that China has no Jedis, the movie made only 26% of expectations in the country. The Force is weak in China. NVIDIA, VOLKSWAGEN, UBER, AI Making further gains in the autonomous vehicle industry, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with Uber and Volkswagen on AI platforms. So far, 320 companies involved in self-driving cars - whether software developers, automakers, or sensor and mapping companies - are using Nvidia Drive, formerly branded as the Drive PX2, proven that there is more than cryptomining to the company! WHIRLPOOL KICKS OFF CES2018 Apple (AAPL) Watch users will soon have the ability to control Whirlpool (WHR) appliances through the wearable. Whirlpool announced the development at CES and said the compatibility would come later this year to 20 connected appliances. Whirlpool says Amazon (AMZN) Alexa and Google (GOOGC) Assistant voice controls will also arrive in 2018. SPACEX - THE FIRST LAUNCH OF 2018 SpaceX successfully launched a secret U.S. government payload called Zuma on Sunday and landed its rocket back on Earth. The Falcon 9 powered a spacecraft made by Northrop Grumman, which was sent into low-Earth orbit. SpaceX is now looking towards its next challenge, launching the Falcon Heavy - its largest rocket to date - at the end of January, meanwhile Tesla’s stock price soared higher. #DAILY PICK Amazon (AMZN) Alexa Onboard was introduced yesterday. Another green day. Electronic Arts (EA) is upgraded to Buy, new PT is $130. Applied Materials (AMAT) also got an upgrade, double bottom formed, ready to rock! Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had great presentation at JPM Healthcare conference. Climbing steady. PayPal (PYPL) one day transfer, instant debit card transfer. Smells like blockchain integration. But who cares?! $86 on the way. Tight stop people! FX WORLD Not a lot happened on Monday, mostly momentum trading was possible. It doesn’t seem to be busy today either, still look for the correct entry points! The EURUSD initially took off to the upside, then broke down to the 1.20 area. 1.19 offers support, where the pair can find buyers and clear the 1.21 level. The GBPUSD didn’t do a lot, which is a sign that it is trying to break out. 1.365 offers resistance, if we break above, the pair will aim higher. 1.3333 is supportive underneath. The USDJPY did a lot of back and forth move during Monday, but couldn’t clear 113.5. Expect pull backs, which will offer good entry points, the pair eventually will break out on top! 112 is kind of an absolut floor. TODAY’s MARKET In Asia ASX200 +0.13% (6,130.3) HANG SHENG +0.11% (30,869) NIKKEI +0.99% (23,849.5) SHANGHAI +0.52% (4,178.5) In Europe DAX30 +0.36% (13,367.78) FTSE100 -0.36% (7,696.5) BUX +0.27% (40,1.4) CAC40 +0.30% (5,487.4) In US Dow -0.05% (25,283) S&P500 +0.17% (2,747.7) NASDAQ +0.29% (7,157.4) Crude +0.12% ($62.21) Gold -0.10% ($1,319.05) Today's Economic Calendar CHF - Unemployment rate EUR - German trade balance EUR - French trade balance EUR - Unemployment rate USD - JOLTS job openings Check our blog for more information:https://www.gtc.news/single-post/DT18009EN
Watching Wall Street boast its best start to a year in over a decade, investors are turning their focus to the fourth quarter earnings season, with results beginning to trickle in this week. Traders are focusing on the recent U.S. tax overhaul, which could provide breathtaking numbers, but it will not affect stock prices much. ECONOMIES German factory orders in Europe's biggest economy slipped by 0.4% in November after three months of gains. The dip was largely due to fluctuations in bulk orders but the overall trend remains positive. China's forex reserves posted an eleventh straight monthly increase in December, $20.7B, taking the full-year increase of the world's largest foreign-currency stockpile to $129B. The FED should raise interest rates three times this year, given the already strong economy will get a boost from tax cuts. ARAMCO’s 5% IS FOR SALE Aligning its strategy with peers, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), CEO Ben van Beurden said that growth of competitor Shell's (RDS.A) oil and gas operations in the next decade will depend on shale production. On what else?! Candies? What a discovery! Saudi Aramco and some of the kingdom's biggest companies said they'll pay Saudi staff more money, matching a royal order amid rising prices. Saudi Arabia seeks to sell as much as 5% of Aramco. CRYPTO The SEC has received a request to allow five bitcoin-related ETFs to be listed on Arca, a secondary marketplace on the NYSE. The instruments, are not tied to the price of the cryptocurrency itself, but would track bitcoin futures. AT&T BACKS DOWN AT&T (T) is backing away from a plan to sell phones made by Chinese handset giant Huawei, on the eve of a big announcement of the deal. The deal that Huawei was set to announce tomorrow would have been its first partnership with a major U.S. carrier, but AT&T has changed its mind. So far it is not clear why AT&T backed down, but there are two issues occur. Are Huawei's phones carry spyware? Is it because the US wants to have domestic competition? At one point we’ll have the answer. THERE ARE NO JEDIS IN CHINA $36 million in third-week grosses, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony) finally toppled Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) from the top of the box-office charts. Disney made an impressive $1.2 billion, but it is far from the estimated $2 billion. It seems that China has no Jedis, the movie made only 26% of expectations in the country. The Force is weak in China. NVIDIA, VOLKSWAGEN, UBER, AI Making further gains in the autonomous vehicle industry, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with Uber and Volkswagen on AI platforms. So far, 320 companies involved in self-driving cars - whether software developers, automakers, or sensor and mapping companies - are using Nvidia Drive, formerly branded as the Drive PX2, proven that there is more than cryptomining to the company! WHIRLPOOL KICKS OFF CES2018 Apple (AAPL) Watch users will soon have the ability to control Whirlpool (WHR) appliances through the wearable. Whirlpool announced the development at CES and said the compatibility would come later this year to 20 connected appliances. Whirlpool says Amazon (AMZN) Alexa and Google (GOOGC) Assistant voice controls will also arrive in 2018. SPACEX - THE FIRST LAUNCH OF 2018 SpaceX successfully launched a secret U.S. government payload called Zuma on Sunday and landed its rocket back on Earth. The Falcon 9 powered a spacecraft made by Northrop Grumman, which was sent into low-Earth orbit. SpaceX is now looking towards its next challenge, launching the Falcon Heavy - its largest rocket to date - at the end of January, meanwhile Tesla’s stock price soared higher. #DAILY PICK Amazon (AMZN) Alexa Onboard was introduced yesterday. Another green day. Electronic Arts (EA) is upgraded to Buy, new PT is $130. Applied Materials (AMAT) also got an upgrade, double bottom formed, ready to rock! Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had great presentation at JPM Healthcare conference. Climbing steady. PayPal (PYPL) one day transfer, instant debit card transfer. Smells like blockchain integration. But who cares?! $86 on the way. Tight stop people! FX WORLD Not a lot happened on Monday, mostly momentum trading was possible. It doesn’t seem to be busy today either, still look for the correct entry points! The EURUSD initially took off to the upside, then broke down to the 1.20 area. 1.19 offers support, where the pair can find buyers and clear the 1.21 level. The GBPUSD didn’t do a lot, which is a sign that it is trying to break out. 1.365 offers resistance, if we break above, the pair will aim higher. 1.3333 is supportive underneath. The USDJPY did a lot of back and forth move during Monday, but couldn’t clear 113.5. Expect pull backs, which will offer good entry points, the pair eventually will break out on top! 112 is kind of an absolut floor. TODAY’s MARKET In Asia ASX200 +0.13% (6,130.3) HANG SHENG +0.11% (30,869) NIKKEI +0.99% (23,849.5) SHANGHAI +0.52% (4,178.5) In Europe DAX30 +0.36% (13,367.78) FTSE100 -0.36% (7,696.5) BUX +0.27% (40,1.4) CAC40 +0.30% (5,487.4) In US Dow -0.05% (25,283) S&P500 +0.17% (2,747.7) NASDAQ +0.29% (7,157.4) Crude +0.12% ($62.21) Gold -0.10% ($1,319.05) Today's Economic Calendar CHF - Unemployment rate EUR - German trade balance EUR - French trade balance EUR - Unemployment rate USD - JOLTS job openings Check our blog for more information:https://www.gtc.news/single-post/DT18009EN
Watching Wall Street boast its best start to a year in over a decade, investors are turning their focus to the fourth quarter earnings season, with results beginning to trickle in this week. Traders are focusing on the recent U.S. tax overhaul, which could provide breathtaking numbers, but it will not affect stock prices much. ECONOMIES German factory orders in Europe's biggest economy slipped by 0.4% in November after three months of gains. The dip was largely due to fluctuations in bulk orders but the overall trend remains positive. China's forex reserves posted an eleventh straight monthly increase in December, $20.7B, taking the full-year increase of the world's largest foreign-currency stockpile to $129B. The FED should raise interest rates three times this year, given the already strong economy will get a boost from tax cuts. ARAMCO’s 5% IS FOR SALE Aligning its strategy with peers, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), CEO Ben van Beurden said that growth of competitor Shell's (RDS.A) oil and gas operations in the next decade will depend on shale production. On what else?! Candies? What a discovery! Saudi Aramco and some of the kingdom's biggest companies said they'll pay Saudi staff more money, matching a royal order amid rising prices. Saudi Arabia seeks to sell as much as 5% of Aramco. CRYPTO The SEC has received a request to allow five bitcoin-related ETFs to be listed on Arca, a secondary marketplace on the NYSE. The instruments, are not tied to the price of the cryptocurrency itself, but would track bitcoin futures. AT&T BACKS DOWN AT&T (T) is backing away from a plan to sell phones made by Chinese handset giant Huawei, on the eve of a big announcement of the deal. The deal that Huawei was set to announce tomorrow would have been its first partnership with a major U.S. carrier, but AT&T has changed its mind. So far it is not clear why AT&T backed down, but there are two issues occur. Are Huawei's phones carry spyware? Is it because the US wants to have domestic competition? At one point we’ll have the answer. THERE ARE NO JEDIS IN CHINA $36 million in third-week grosses, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony) finally toppled Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) from the top of the box-office charts. Disney made an impressive $1.2 billion, but it is far from the estimated $2 billion. It seems that China has no Jedis, the movie made only 26% of expectations in the country. The Force is weak in China. NVIDIA, VOLKSWAGEN, UBER, AI Making further gains in the autonomous vehicle industry, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with Uber and Volkswagen on AI platforms. So far, 320 companies involved in self-driving cars - whether software developers, automakers, or sensor and mapping companies - are using Nvidia Drive, formerly branded as the Drive PX2, proven that there is more than cryptomining to the company! WHIRLPOOL KICKS OFF CES2018 Apple (AAPL) Watch users will soon have the ability to control Whirlpool (WHR) appliances through the wearable. Whirlpool announced the development at CES and said the compatibility would come later this year to 20 connected appliances. Whirlpool says Amazon (AMZN) Alexa and Google (GOOGC) Assistant voice controls will also arrive in 2018. SPACEX - THE FIRST LAUNCH OF 2018 SpaceX successfully launched a secret U.S. government payload called Zuma on Sunday and landed its rocket back on Earth. The Falcon 9 powered a spacecraft made by Northrop Grumman, which was sent into low-Earth orbit. SpaceX is now looking towards its next challenge, launching the Falcon Heavy - its largest rocket to date - at the end of January, meanwhile Tesla’s stock price soared higher. #DAILY PICK Amazon (AMZN) Alexa Onboard was introduced yesterday. Another green day. Electronic Arts (EA) is upgraded to Buy, new PT is $130. Applied Materials (AMAT) also got an upgrade, double bottom formed, ready to rock! Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had great presentation at JPM Healthcare conference. Climbing steady. PayPal (PYPL) one day transfer, instant debit card transfer. Smells like blockchain integration. But who cares?! $86 on the way. Tight stop people! FX WORLD Not a lot happened on Monday, mostly momentum trading was possible. It doesn’t seem to be busy today either, still look for the correct entry points! The EURUSD initially took off to the upside, then broke down to the 1.20 area. 1.19 offers support, where the pair can find buyers and clear the 1.21 level. The GBPUSD didn’t do a lot, which is a sign that it is trying to break out. 1.365 offers resistance, if we break above, the pair will aim higher. 1.3333 is supportive underneath. The USDJPY did a lot of back and forth move during Monday, but couldn’t clear 113.5. Expect pull backs, which will offer good entry points, the pair eventually will break out on top! 112 is kind of an absolut floor. TODAY’s MARKET In Asia ASX200 +0.13% (6,130.3) HANG SHENG +0.11% (30,869) NIKKEI +0.99% (23,849.5) SHANGHAI +0.52% (4,178.5) In Europe DAX30 +0.36% (13,367.78) FTSE100 -0.36% (7,696.5) BUX +0.27% (40,1.4) CAC40 +0.30% (5,487.4) In US Dow -0.05% (25,283) S&P500 +0.17% (2,747.7) NASDAQ +0.29% (7,157.4) Crude +0.12% ($62.21) Gold -0.10% ($1,319.05) Today's Economic Calendar CHF - Unemployment rate EUR - German trade balance EUR - French trade balance EUR - Unemployment rate USD - JOLTS job openings Check our blog for more information:https://www.gtc.news/single-post/DT18009EN
Watching Wall Street boast its best start to a year in over a decade, investors are turning their focus to the fourth quarter earnings season, with results beginning to trickle in this week. Traders are focusing on the recent U.S. tax overhaul, which could provide breathtaking numbers, but it will not affect stock prices much. ECONOMIES German factory orders in Europe's biggest economy slipped by 0.4% in November after three months of gains. The dip was largely due to fluctuations in bulk orders but the overall trend remains positive. China's forex reserves posted an eleventh straight monthly increase in December, $20.7B, taking the full-year increase of the world's largest foreign-currency stockpile to $129B. The FED should raise interest rates three times this year, given the already strong economy will get a boost from tax cuts. ARAMCO’s 5% IS FOR SALE Aligning its strategy with peers, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), CEO Ben van Beurden said that growth of competitor Shell's (RDS.A) oil and gas operations in the next decade will depend on shale production. On what else?! Candies? What a discovery! Saudi Aramco and some of the kingdom's biggest companies said they'll pay Saudi staff more money, matching a royal order amid rising prices. Saudi Arabia seeks to sell as much as 5% of Aramco. CRYPTO The SEC has received a request to allow five bitcoin-related ETFs to be listed on Arca, a secondary marketplace on the NYSE. The instruments, are not tied to the price of the cryptocurrency itself, but would track bitcoin futures. AT&T BACKS DOWN AT&T (T) is backing away from a plan to sell phones made by Chinese handset giant Huawei, on the eve of a big announcement of the deal. The deal that Huawei was set to announce tomorrow would have been its first partnership with a major U.S. carrier, but AT&T has changed its mind. So far it is not clear why AT&T backed down, but there are two issues occur. Are Huawei's phones carry spyware? Is it because the US wants to have domestic competition? At one point we’ll have the answer. THERE ARE NO JEDIS IN CHINA $36 million in third-week grosses, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony) finally toppled Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) from the top of the box-office charts. Disney made an impressive $1.2 billion, but it is far from the estimated $2 billion. It seems that China has no Jedis, the movie made only 26% of expectations in the country. The Force is weak in China. NVIDIA, VOLKSWAGEN, UBER, AI Making further gains in the autonomous vehicle industry, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with Uber and Volkswagen on AI platforms. So far, 320 companies involved in self-driving cars - whether software developers, automakers, or sensor and mapping companies - are using Nvidia Drive, formerly branded as the Drive PX2, proven that there is more than cryptomining to the company! WHIRLPOOL KICKS OFF CES2018 Apple (AAPL) Watch users will soon have the ability to control Whirlpool (WHR) appliances through the wearable. Whirlpool announced the development at CES and said the compatibility would come later this year to 20 connected appliances. Whirlpool says Amazon (AMZN) Alexa and Google (GOOGC) Assistant voice controls will also arrive in 2018. SPACEX - THE FIRST LAUNCH OF 2018 SpaceX successfully launched a secret U.S. government payload called Zuma on Sunday and landed its rocket back on Earth. The Falcon 9 powered a spacecraft made by Northrop Grumman, which was sent into low-Earth orbit. SpaceX is now looking towards its next challenge, launching the Falcon Heavy - its largest rocket to date - at the end of January, meanwhile Tesla’s stock price soared higher. #DAILY PICK Amazon (AMZN) Alexa Onboard was introduced yesterday. Another green day. Electronic Arts (EA) is upgraded to Buy, new PT is $130. Applied Materials (AMAT) also got an upgrade, double bottom formed, ready to rock! Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had great presentation at JPM Healthcare conference. Climbing steady. PayPal (PYPL) one day transfer, instant debit card transfer. Smells like blockchain integration. But who cares?! $86 on the way. Tight stop people! FX WORLD Not a lot happened on Monday, mostly momentum trading was possible. It doesn’t seem to be busy today either, still look for the correct entry points! The EURUSD initially took off to the upside, then broke down to the 1.20 area. 1.19 offers support, where the pair can find buyers and clear the 1.21 level. The GBPUSD didn’t do a lot, which is a sign that it is trying to break out. 1.365 offers resistance, if we break above, the pair will aim higher. 1.3333 is supportive underneath. The USDJPY did a lot of back and forth move during Monday, but couldn’t clear 113.5. Expect pull backs, which will offer good entry points, the pair eventually will break out on top! 112 is kind of an absolut floor. TODAY’s MARKET In Asia ASX200 +0.13% (6,130.3) HANG SHENG +0.11% (30,869) NIKKEI +0.99% (23,849.5) SHANGHAI +0.52% (4,178.5) In Europe DAX30 +0.36% (13,367.78) FTSE100 -0.36% (7,696.5) BUX +0.27% (40,1.4) CAC40 +0.30% (5,487.4) In US Dow -0.05% (25,283) S&P500 +0.17% (2,747.7) NASDAQ +0.29% (7,157.4) Crude +0.12% ($62.21) Gold -0.10% ($1,319.05) Today's Economic Calendar CHF - Unemployment rate EUR - German trade balance EUR - French trade balance EUR - Unemployment rate USD - JOLTS job openings Check our blog for more information:https://www.gtc.news/single-post/DT18009EN
Watching Wall Street boast its best start to a year in over a decade, investors are turning their focus to the fourth quarter earnings season, with results beginning to trickle in this week. Traders are focusing on the recent U.S. tax overhaul, which could provide breathtaking numbers, but it will not affect stock prices much. ECONOMIES German factory orders in Europe's biggest economy slipped by 0.4% in November after three months of gains. The dip was largely due to fluctuations in bulk orders but the overall trend remains positive. China's forex reserves posted an eleventh straight monthly increase in December, $20.7B, taking the full-year increase of the world's largest foreign-currency stockpile to $129B. The FED should raise interest rates three times this year, given the already strong economy will get a boost from tax cuts. ARAMCO’s 5% IS FOR SALE Aligning its strategy with peers, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), CEO Ben van Beurden said that growth of competitor Shell's (RDS.A) oil and gas operations in the next decade will depend on shale production. On what else?! Candies? What a discovery! Saudi Aramco and some of the kingdom's biggest companies said they'll pay Saudi staff more money, matching a royal order amid rising prices. Saudi Arabia seeks to sell as much as 5% of Aramco. CRYPTO The SEC has received a request to allow five bitcoin-related ETFs to be listed on Arca, a secondary marketplace on the NYSE. The instruments, are not tied to the price of the cryptocurrency itself, but would track bitcoin futures. AT&T BACKS DOWN AT&T (T) is backing away from a plan to sell phones made by Chinese handset giant Huawei, on the eve of a big announcement of the deal. The deal that Huawei was set to announce tomorrow would have been its first partnership with a major U.S. carrier, but AT&T has changed its mind. So far it is not clear why AT&T backed down, but there are two issues occur. Are Huawei's phones carry spyware? Is it because the US wants to have domestic competition? At one point we’ll have the answer. THERE ARE NO JEDIS IN CHINA $36 million in third-week grosses, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony) finally toppled Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) from the top of the box-office charts. Disney made an impressive $1.2 billion, but it is far from the estimated $2 billion. It seems that China has no Jedis, the movie made only 26% of expectations in the country. The Force is weak in China. NVIDIA, VOLKSWAGEN, UBER, AI Making further gains in the autonomous vehicle industry, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with Uber and Volkswagen on AI platforms. So far, 320 companies involved in self-driving cars - whether software developers, automakers, or sensor and mapping companies - are using Nvidia Drive, formerly branded as the Drive PX2, proven that there is more than cryptomining to the company! WHIRLPOOL KICKS OFF CES2018 Apple (AAPL) Watch users will soon have the ability to control Whirlpool (WHR) appliances through the wearable. Whirlpool announced the development at CES and said the compatibility would come later this year to 20 connected appliances. Whirlpool says Amazon (AMZN) Alexa and Google (GOOGC) Assistant voice controls will also arrive in 2018. SPACEX - THE FIRST LAUNCH OF 2018 SpaceX successfully launched a secret U.S. government payload called Zuma on Sunday and landed its rocket back on Earth. The Falcon 9 powered a spacecraft made by Northrop Grumman, which was sent into low-Earth orbit. SpaceX is now looking towards its next challenge, launching the Falcon Heavy - its largest rocket to date - at the end of January, meanwhile Tesla’s stock price soared higher. #DAILY PICK Amazon (AMZN) Alexa Onboard was introduced yesterday. Another green day. Electronic Arts (EA) is upgraded to Buy, new PT is $130. Applied Materials (AMAT) also got an upgrade, double bottom formed, ready to rock! Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had great presentation at JPM Healthcare conference. Climbing steady. PayPal (PYPL) one day transfer, instant debit card transfer. Smells like blockchain integration. But who cares?! $86 on the way. Tight stop people! FX WORLD Not a lot happened on Monday, mostly momentum trading was possible. It doesn’t seem to be busy today either, still look for the correct entry points! The EURUSD initially took off to the upside, then broke down to the 1.20 area. 1.19 offers support, where the pair can find buyers and clear the 1.21 level. The GBPUSD didn’t do a lot, which is a sign that it is trying to break out. 1.365 offers resistance, if we break above, the pair will aim higher. 1.3333 is supportive underneath. The USDJPY did a lot of back and forth move during Monday, but couldn’t clear 113.5. Expect pull backs, which will offer good entry points, the pair eventually will break out on top! 112 is kind of an absolut floor. TODAY’s MARKET In Asia ASX200 +0.13% (6,130.3) HANG SHENG +0.11% (30,869) NIKKEI +0.99% (23,849.5) SHANGHAI +0.52% (4,178.5) In Europe DAX30 +0.36% (13,367.78) FTSE100 -0.36% (7,696.5) BUX +0.27% (40,1.4) CAC40 +0.30% (5,487.4) In US Dow -0.05% (25,283) S&P500 +0.17% (2,747.7) NASDAQ +0.29% (7,157.4) Crude +0.12% ($62.21) Gold -0.10% ($1,319.05) Today's Economic Calendar CHF - Unemployment rate EUR - German trade balance EUR - French trade balance EUR - Unemployment rate USD - JOLTS job openings Check our blog for more information:https://www.gtc.news/single-post/DT18009EN
Watching Wall Street boast its best start to a year in over a decade, investors are turning their focus to the fourth quarter earnings season, with results beginning to trickle in this week. Traders are focusing on the recent U.S. tax overhaul, which could provide breathtaking numbers, but it will not affect stock prices much. ECONOMIES German factory orders in Europe's biggest economy slipped by 0.4% in November after three months of gains. The dip was largely due to fluctuations in bulk orders but the overall trend remains positive. China's forex reserves posted an eleventh straight monthly increase in December, $20.7B, taking the full-year increase of the world's largest foreign-currency stockpile to $129B. The FED should raise interest rates three times this year, given the already strong economy will get a boost from tax cuts. ARAMCO’s 5% IS FOR SALE Aligning its strategy with peers, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), CEO Ben van Beurden said that growth of competitor Shell's (RDS.A) oil and gas operations in the next decade will depend on shale production. On what else?! Candies? What a discovery! Saudi Aramco and some of the kingdom's biggest companies said they'll pay Saudi staff more money, matching a royal order amid rising prices. Saudi Arabia seeks to sell as much as 5% of Aramco. CRYPTO The SEC has received a request to allow five bitcoin-related ETFs to be listed on Arca, a secondary marketplace on the NYSE. The instruments, are not tied to the price of the cryptocurrency itself, but would track bitcoin futures. AT&T BACKS DOWN AT&T (T) is backing away from a plan to sell phones made by Chinese handset giant Huawei, on the eve of a big announcement of the deal. The deal that Huawei was set to announce tomorrow would have been its first partnership with a major U.S. carrier, but AT&T has changed its mind. So far it is not clear why AT&T backed down, but there are two issues occur. Are Huawei's phones carry spyware? Is it because the US wants to have domestic competition? At one point we’ll have the answer. THERE ARE NO JEDIS IN CHINA $36 million in third-week grosses, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony) finally toppled Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) from the top of the box-office charts. Disney made an impressive $1.2 billion, but it is far from the estimated $2 billion. It seems that China has no Jedis, the movie made only 26% of expectations in the country. The Force is weak in China. NVIDIA, VOLKSWAGEN, UBER, AI Making further gains in the autonomous vehicle industry, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with Uber and Volkswagen on AI platforms. So far, 320 companies involved in self-driving cars - whether software developers, automakers, or sensor and mapping companies - are using Nvidia Drive, formerly branded as the Drive PX2, proven that there is more than cryptomining to the company! WHIRLPOOL KICKS OFF CES2018 Apple (AAPL) Watch users will soon have the ability to control Whirlpool (WHR) appliances through the wearable. Whirlpool announced the development at CES and said the compatibility would come later this year to 20 connected appliances. Whirlpool says Amazon (AMZN) Alexa and Google (GOOGC) Assistant voice controls will also arrive in 2018. SPACEX - THE FIRST LAUNCH OF 2018 SpaceX successfully launched a secret U.S. government payload called Zuma on Sunday and landed its rocket back on Earth. The Falcon 9 powered a spacecraft made by Northrop Grumman, which was sent into low-Earth orbit. SpaceX is now looking towards its next challenge, launching the Falcon Heavy - its largest rocket to date - at the end of January, meanwhile Tesla’s stock price soared higher. #DAILY PICK Amazon (AMZN) Alexa Onboard was introduced yesterday. Another green day. Electronic Arts (EA) is upgraded to Buy, new PT is $130. Applied Materials (AMAT) also got an upgrade, double bottom formed, ready to rock! Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had great presentation at JPM Healthcare conference. Climbing steady. PayPal (PYPL) one day transfer, instant debit card transfer. Smells like blockchain integration. But who cares?! $86 on the way. Tight stop people! FX WORLD Not a lot happened on Monday, mostly momentum trading was possible. It doesn’t seem to be busy today either, still look for the correct entry points! The EURUSD initially took off to the upside, then broke down to the 1.20 area. 1.19 offers support, where the pair can find buyers and clear the 1.21 level. The GBPUSD didn’t do a lot, which is a sign that it is trying to break out. 1.365 offers resistance, if we break above, the pair will aim higher. 1.3333 is supportive underneath. The USDJPY did a lot of back and forth move during Monday, but couldn’t clear 113.5. Expect pull backs, which will offer good entry points, the pair eventually will break out on top! 112 is kind of an absolut floor. TODAY’s MARKET In Asia ASX200 +0.13% (6,130.3) HANG SHENG +0.11% (30,869) NIKKEI +0.99% (23,849.5) SHANGHAI +0.52% (4,178.5) In Europe DAX30 +0.36% (13,367.78) FTSE100 -0.36% (7,696.5) BUX +0.27% (40,1.4) CAC40 +0.30% (5,487.4) In US Dow -0.05% (25,283) S&P500 +0.17% (2,747.7) NASDAQ +0.29% (7,157.4) Crude +0.12% ($62.21) Gold -0.10% ($1,319.05) Today's Economic Calendar CHF - Unemployment rate EUR - German trade balance EUR - French trade balance EUR - Unemployment rate USD - JOLTS job openings Check our blog for more information:https://www.gtc.news/single-post/DT18009EN
Watching Wall Street boast its best start to a year in over a decade, investors are turning their focus to the fourth quarter earnings season, with results beginning to trickle in this week. Traders are focusing on the recent U.S. tax overhaul, which could provide breathtaking numbers, but it will not affect stock prices much. ECONOMIES German factory orders in Europe's biggest economy slipped by 0.4% in November after three months of gains. The dip was largely due to fluctuations in bulk orders but the overall trend remains positive. China's forex reserves posted an eleventh straight monthly increase in December, $20.7B, taking the full-year increase of the world's largest foreign-currency stockpile to $129B. The FED should raise interest rates three times this year, given the already strong economy will get a boost from tax cuts. ARAMCO’s 5% IS FOR SALE Aligning its strategy with peers, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX), CEO Ben van Beurden said that growth of competitor Shell's (RDS.A) oil and gas operations in the next decade will depend on shale production. On what else?! Candies? What a discovery! Saudi Aramco and some of the kingdom's biggest companies said they'll pay Saudi staff more money, matching a royal order amid rising prices. Saudi Arabia seeks to sell as much as 5% of Aramco. CRYPTO The SEC has received a request to allow five bitcoin-related ETFs to be listed on Arca, a secondary marketplace on the NYSE. The instruments, are not tied to the price of the cryptocurrency itself, but would track bitcoin futures. AT&T BACKS DOWN AT&T (T) is backing away from a plan to sell phones made by Chinese handset giant Huawei, on the eve of a big announcement of the deal. The deal that Huawei was set to announce tomorrow would have been its first partnership with a major U.S. carrier, but AT&T has changed its mind. So far it is not clear why AT&T backed down, but there are two issues occur. Are Huawei's phones carry spyware? Is it because the US wants to have domestic competition? At one point we’ll have the answer. THERE ARE NO JEDIS IN CHINA $36 million in third-week grosses, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony) finally toppled Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney) from the top of the box-office charts. Disney made an impressive $1.2 billion, but it is far from the estimated $2 billion. It seems that China has no Jedis, the movie made only 26% of expectations in the country. The Force is weak in China. NVIDIA, VOLKSWAGEN, UBER, AI Making further gains in the autonomous vehicle industry, Nvidia (NVDA) is partnering with Uber and Volkswagen on AI platforms. So far, 320 companies involved in self-driving cars - whether software developers, automakers, or sensor and mapping companies - are using Nvidia Drive, formerly branded as the Drive PX2, proven that there is more than cryptomining to the company! WHIRLPOOL KICKS OFF CES2018 Apple (AAPL) Watch users will soon have the ability to control Whirlpool (WHR) appliances through the wearable. Whirlpool announced the development at CES and said the compatibility would come later this year to 20 connected appliances. Whirlpool says Amazon (AMZN) Alexa and Google (GOOGC) Assistant voice controls will also arrive in 2018. SPACEX - THE FIRST LAUNCH OF 2018 SpaceX successfully launched a secret U.S. government payload called Zuma on Sunday and landed its rocket back on Earth. The Falcon 9 powered a spacecraft made by Northrop Grumman, which was sent into low-Earth orbit. SpaceX is now looking towards its next challenge, launching the Falcon Heavy - its largest rocket to date - at the end of January, meanwhile Tesla’s stock price soared higher. #DAILY PICK Amazon (AMZN) Alexa Onboard was introduced yesterday. Another green day. Electronic Arts (EA) is upgraded to Buy, new PT is $130. Applied Materials (AMAT) also got an upgrade, double bottom formed, ready to rock! Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) had great presentation at JPM Healthcare conference. Climbing steady. PayPal (PYPL) one day transfer, instant debit card transfer. Smells like blockchain integration. But who cares?! $86 on the way. Tight stop people! FX WORLD Not a lot happened on Monday, mostly momentum trading was possible. It doesn’t seem to be busy today either, still look for the correct entry points! The EURUSD initially took off to the upside, then broke down to the 1.20 area. 1.19 offers support, where the pair can find buyers and clear the 1.21 level. The GBPUSD didn’t do a lot, which is a sign that it is trying to break out. 1.365 offers resistance, if we break above, the pair will aim higher. 1.3333 is supportive underneath. The USDJPY did a lot of back and forth move during Monday, but couldn’t clear 113.5. Expect pull backs, which will offer good entry points, the pair eventually will break out on top! 112 is kind of an absolut floor. TODAY’s MARKET In Asia ASX200 +0.13% (6,130.3) HANG SHENG +0.11% (30,869) NIKKEI +0.99% (23,849.5) SHANGHAI +0.52% (4,178.5) In Europe DAX30 +0.36% (13,367.78) FTSE100 -0.36% (7,696.5) BUX +0.27% (40,1.4) CAC40 +0.30% (5,487.4) In US Dow -0.05% (25,283) S&P500 +0.17% (2,747.7) NASDAQ +0.29% (7,157.4) Crude +0.12% ($62.21) Gold -0.10% ($1,319.05) Today's Economic Calendar CHF - Unemployment rate EUR - German trade balance EUR - French trade balance EUR - Unemployment rate USD - JOLTS job openings Check our blog for more information:https://www.gtc.news/single-post/DT18009EN
For context - I have started trading ta and ea thanks to these posts - https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/2nc2dt/itt_i_teach_you_how_simple_it_is_to_make_money_in/?st=IYAOQ4R1&sh=847d23eb I wanted to ask how should I set exits for both loses and profits on my trend trades as I have found the sar and atr to go close my trade to early and in terms of risk ratio which I would keep at 3:1 seems hard as all pairs have different trend strengths. The only other way I can see is using support and resistance but can someone explain how I'd go about doing that. Does anyone have any advice on exiting??
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Forex Support and Resistance. Support and resistance is one of the most widely used concepts in forex trading. Strangely enough, everyone seems to have their own idea on how you should measure forex support and resistance. Let’s take a look at the basics first. Look at the diagram above. As you can see, this zigzag pattern is making its way up (bull market). When the forex market moves up ... Support and Resistance EA; If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below. Page 1 of 2 1 2 Last. Jump to page: Results 1 to 10 of 16 4 Thread: Support and Resistance EA. Thread ... i was developt an EA based on support n resistance... if there is an open buy or sell... 1. make a support n resistance area 50pips above n below the open price... 2. open 2 pending order ont the support n resistance... 3. if one of the pending order done, it make a new support n resistance level 4. then open pending order againt in new support or resistance it success to create stopbuy on ... If price breaks support or resistance, the price often continues to the next level of support or resistance. Support and resistance levels are not always exact; they are usually a zone covering a small range of prices so levels can be breached, or pierced, without necessarily being broken. As a result, support/resistance levels help identify possible points where price may change directions. Support and Resistance are lines on your chart. You should place your stop loss at Support and Resistance. If you follow the “theories” above, it would cost you money in the long run. Because these are the biggest lies about Support and Resistance trading strategy. I current SRT EA – FULL VERSION, FREE for private use. The buying and selling algorithm for the Support Resistance Trader requires: (1) A minimal of the Customary Deviation indicator; (2) A breakthrough of the Support (for Promote) or Resistance (for Purchase) strains by the SMA of the Low (for Promote) or Excessive (for Purchase) value . Support and Resistance Breakout is a strategy based on the famous indicator developped by Barry Stander in the 2004 for Metatrader 4. The version that i shows here is developped by Lennoi Anderson, 2015. This is an free but great indicator for analisys of the market anf for support at the trading with very good results.
Free Forex Support & Resistance indicator download. See ...
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