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| | Breakout system based on the clique equationIn this article we are going to explain a breakout trading system based on the clique equation , a variant of pivot points used to determine important price levels in the market.Through its formulas, the clique equation determines 4 support levels (S1, S2, S3, and S4) and 4 resistance levels (R1, R2, R3, and R4) that can be used to trade. Of these levels, the most important are S3, S4, R3 and R4. The H4 and L4 levels, while typically used as stop loss levels for price reversal trades made from the H3 and L3 levels, are actually also price levels for breakout trades themselves. If the price breaks up through R4 or breaks down below S4, there is a high chance that it will continue in that direction. According to some traders when such a breakout occurs in the S&P 500, you can expect a move of up to 7 points, which is, as you will understand, a VERY significant proportion of a typical day's volatility. As always, it is recommended to evaluate this trading system with a demo account before using it to trade with real money. Strategy RulesAs stated above, it is a breakout system in which the buy/sell position is opened when the R4/S4 level is broken. Pretty simple really. However, the trader must be careful and use stop losses in case the price makes a false breakout and ends up bouncing off the R4/S4 level.Recommended trading instruments: This system can be used in any market, including Forex, precious metals and stock indices such as the S&P 500. Recommended time frames: It is recommended to use the system in medium-term time frames, from H1 to D1, where the effect of the calculated levels of the Camarilla equation is better appreciated. Smaller time frames such as 15 minutes and 5 minutes can be used to refine the input. System indicators:
- Opening sell positions: A sell position is opened when the price breaks and closes below the S4 level. - Stop loss: Given the possibility that the price will bounce off the S4/R4 level, it is recommended to place a stop loss AT LEAST on the S3/R3 level. We say at least as it may seem to some traders that these levels are far removed from the opening level of the position. Therefore, we can say that the stop loss in this system is subjective (as in many systems). In the S&P 500, for example, a stop loss of 2 points or less is usually enough. - Take Profit: Since the Camarilla equation does not specify levels above S4 and R4, knowing when to exit a trade with a profit can be somewhat subjective. Taking profits can often be a prudent course of action as it allows us to lock in profits and prevent a winning trade from turning into a losing one. In this case, it is recommended that the take profit target be at least equal to the stop loss in order to have a Profit:Loss ratio of at least 1:1. Of course this depends on each operator. System in Action: ExampleSell Trade Example on S4 Bearish BreakoutIn this example from the FTSE (the UK equivalent of the S&P 500 index), we can clearly see a break below the S4 level and the subsequent opening of a sell trade. In this case, the price fell sharply and reached the profit-taking level used in less than half an hour, which was placed 20 points from the entry price. Now of course not all breakouts from the S4/R4 levels are as clean as this one. Sometimes false breakouts occur, or moves that cross the breakout level up and down without the price having a clear direction. Therefore, it is always advisable to use stop losses to limit possible losses. Before thinking about what he stands to gain, the trader must keep in mind what he stands to lose. MORE: |
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